Sat, Mar 30, 2019·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Dallas Stars 2, Vancouver Canucks 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | 012 | 012 | 213 | 03 | 0 | 240 |
| VAN | 212 | 010 | 08 | 01 | 1 | 331 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:52VANTim SchallerAssists: Jay Beagle, Alex Biega · Backhand, 0.07 xG0–1
- P1 11:16VANSven BaertschiAssists: Brock Boeser · Wrist, 0.08 xG0–2
- P3 9:14DALAndrew CoglianoAssists: Radek Faksa · Wrist, 0.25 xG1–2
- P3 14:11DALAlexander RadulovAssists: John Klingberg, Mattias Janmark · Wrist, 0.02 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. VAN Elias Pettersson stopped
- 2. DAL Alexander Radulov stopped
- 3. VAN Brock Boeser stopped
- 4. DAL Tyler Seguin stopped
- 5. VAN Tanner Pearson stopped
- 6. DAL Jamie Benn stopped
- 7. VAN Josh Leivo stopped
- 8. DAL John Klingberg stopped
- 9. VAN Bo Horvat stopped
- 10. DAL Jason Spezza stopped
- 11. VAN Ryan Spooner stopped
- 12. DAL Miro Heiskanen stopped
- 13. VAN Quinn Hughes stopped
- 14. DAL Roope Hintz stopped
- 15. VAN Markus Granlund scored
- 16. DAL Mattias Janmark stopped
Penalties (7)
- P1 1:31VANTroy Stecher: Hooking2 min
- P1 2:24DALTyler Seguin: Tripping2 min
- P1 8:36VANAlex Biega: Holding2 min
- P2 1:09VANBen Hutton: Interference2 min
- P2 4:41DALBlake Comeau: Tripping2 min
- P3 0:44DALBlake Comeau: Tripping2 min
- P3 15:09DALRadek Faksa: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Faksa won the faceoff against Pettersson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Dallas Stars
Forward lines
- bestComeau – Cogliano – Faksa9:15
xG 1.24–0.45 (73%)attempts 14–5goals 1–1
- Benn – Seguin – Hintz2:36
xG 0.23–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Spezza – Radulov – Nichushkin2:04
xG 0.18–0.02 (89%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Radulov – Seguin – Janmark3:44
xG 0.04–0.01 (76%)attempts 4–1goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestLovejoy – Fedun9:23
xG 1.03–0.45 (69%)attempts 14–8goals 1–0
- Klingberg – Heiskanen14:55
xG 0.78–0.21 (79%)attempts 21–3goals 1–1
- Klingberg – Lindell6:29
xG 0.39–0.26 (60%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSpooner – Leivo – Gaudette8:39
xG 0.81–0.52 (61%)attempts 10–13goals 0–0
- Baertschi – Boeser – Pettersson7:31
xG 0.36–0.18 (67%)attempts 6–6goals 1–0
- Spooner – Leivo – Horvat2:25
xG 0.03–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Eriksson – Pearson – Horvat10:10
xG 0.17–0.44 (28%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Edler – Biega14:09
xG 0.48–0.49 (49%)attempts 9–16goals 1–0
- Schenn – Hughes10:35
xG 0.26–0.30 (47%)attempts 8–12goals 1–0
- Hutton – Stecher14:19
xG 0.94–1.12 (46%)attempts 15–16goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it DAL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − DAL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).