Sat, Mar 30, 2019·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Chicago Blackhawks 2, Los Angeles Kings 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 09 | 114 | 110 | 02 | 235 |
| LAK | 014 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 329 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 1:38CHIAlex DeBrincatAssists: Patrick Kane, Artem Anisimov · Wrist, 0.18 xG1–0
- P2 16:05LAKAustin WagnerAssists: Jeff Carter, Matt Roy · Wrist, 0.11 xG1–1
- P3 3:09CHIErik GustafssonAssists: Duncan Keith, Marcus Kruger · Slap, 0.05 xG2–1
- P3 15:45LAKMichael AmadioAssists: Kyle Clifford, Trevor Lewis · Snap, 0.13 xG2–2
- OT 4:48LAKDrew DoughtyPPGWGAssists: Anze Kopitar, Tyler Toffoli · Slap, 0.06 xG2–3
Penalties (6)
- P1 11:25CHIMarcus Kruger: Hooking2 min
- P1 15:49LAKKyle Clifford: Slashing2 min
- P1 18:06CHIBrent Seabrook: Tripping2 min
- P2 2:25LAKTrevor Lewis: Hooking2 min
- P2 9:16LAKJeff Carter: Slashing2 min
- OT 4:29CHIJonathan Toews: Holding2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Carter won the faceoff against Toews
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestKunitz – Kane – Kruger2:34
xG 0.21–0.01 (93%)attempts 4–2goals 1–0
- Anisimov – Kane – DeBrincat14:19
xG 0.90–0.72 (56%)attempts 15–11goals 1–1
- Strome – Caggiula – Kahun9:37
xG 0.60–0.45 (57%)attempts 14–6goals 0–0
- Toews – Saad – Sikura12:18
xG 0.33–0.32 (51%)attempts 12–5goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Gustafsson16:42
xG 0.95–0.64 (60%)attempts 19–13goals 2–1
- Murphy – Dahlstrom16:10
xG 0.64–0.87 (43%)attempts 15–10goals 0–1
- Seabrook – Forsling11:18
xG 0.49–0.84 (37%)attempts 13–9goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestBrown – Kopitar – Iafallo10:32
xG 0.41–0.22 (65%)attempts 8–6goals 0–1
- Carter – Lewis – Clifford12:07
xG 0.49–0.32 (60%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
- Brodzinski – Amadio – Wagner2:46
xG 0.25–0.38 (40%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
- Toffoli – Kempe – Grundstrom7:20
xG 0.04–0.57 (6%)attempts 2–11goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Forbort19:56
xG 1.16–0.70 (62%)attempts 16–17goals 0–1
- Martinez – Roy16:21
xG 0.81–0.97 (45%)attempts 11–18goals 2–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).