Wed, Apr 3, 2019·United Center, Chicago
St. Louis Blues 3, Chicago Blackhawks 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 07 | 110 | 222 | 01 | 0 | 340 |
| CHI | 112 | 113 | 111 | 02 | 1 | 438 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 16:26CHIJonathan ToewsAssists: Patrick Kane, Drake Caggiula · Wrist, 0.17 xG0–1
- P2 0:26STLVladimir TarasenkoAssists: Brayden Schenn, Colton Parayko · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–1
- P2 13:20CHIArtem AnisimovAssists: Dominik Kahun, Brandon Saad · Tip-in, 0.16 xG1–2
- P3 11:37CHIPatrick KaneAssists: Dylan Strome, Duncan Keith · Backhand, 0.15 xG1–3
- P3 12:23STLDavid PerronPPAssists: Alex Pietrangelo, Vladimir Tarasenko · Wrist, 0.08 xG2–3
- P3 19:21STLTyler BozakAssists: Patrick Maroon, Colton Parayko · Backhand, 0.19 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. CHI Jonathan Toews scored
- 2. STL Tyler Bozak stopped
- 3. CHI Patrick Kane stopped
- 4. STL Ryan O'Reilly stopped
- 5. CHI Alex DeBrincat stopped
- 6. STL Vladimir Tarasenko stopped
Penalties (5)
- P1 3:37CHIDennis Gilbert: Holding the stick2 min
- P2 2:56STLBrayden Schenn: Tripping2 min
- P2 17:09STLTyler Bozak: Tripping2 min
- P3 1:34CHIDominik Kahun: Hooking2 min
- P3 11:59CHIDylan Strome: Hooking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00O'Reilly won the faceoff against Toews
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestO'Reilly – Schenn – Tarasenko13:13
xG 1.24–0.67 (65%)attempts 19–17goals 1–1
- Maroon – Bozak – Thomas11:09
xG 0.78–0.40 (66%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
- Steen – Sanford – Barbashev7:48
xG 0.31–0.30 (51%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Perron – Schwartz – Sundqvist12:52
xG 0.30–0.69 (30%)attempts 11–15goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestGunnarsson – Pietrangelo8:36
xG 0.64–0.07 (91%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Gunnarsson – Bortuzzo6:50
xG 0.39–0.17 (70%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Pietrangelo – Dunn8:24
xG 0.83–0.65 (56%)attempts 9–12goals 0–1
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestToews – Kane – Caggiula12:59
xG 0.49–0.32 (60%)attempts 16–10goals 1–1
- Kane – Strome – DeBrincat2:19
xG 0.34–0.23 (60%)attempts 5–5goals 1–0
- Anisimov – Saad – Kahun11:15
xG 0.65–0.56 (54%)attempts 10–12goals 1–0
- Kunitz – Kruger – Hayden5:42
xG 0.16–0.40 (29%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMurphy – Gilbert12:09
xG 0.38–0.28 (58%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
- Keith – Gustafsson20:07
xG 1.00–1.02 (50%)attempts 25–22goals 1–1
- Seabrook – Dahlstrom13:59
xG 0.73–1.23 (37%)attempts 17–15goals 2–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it STL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − STL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).