Thu, Apr 4, 2019·Enterprise Center, St. Louis
Philadelphia Flyers 3, St. Louis Blues 7
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 312 | 06 | 011 | 329 |
| STL | 516 | 18 | 111 | 735 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:49STLIvan BarbashevAssists: Alexander Steen, Alex Pietrangelo · Tip-in, 0.28 xG0–1
- P1 3:28STLRyan O'ReillyPPAssists: David Perron, Brayden Schenn · Tip-in, 0.18 xG0–2
- P1 5:33STLAlexander SteenSHAssists: Oskar Sundqvist, Alex Pietrangelo · Snap, 0.24 xG0–3
- P1 6:45PHIOskar LindblomAssists: Ryan Hartman, Scott Laughton · Tip-in, 0.11 xG1–3
- P1 6:58STLPatrick MaroonGWGAssists: Tyler Bozak, Robert Thomas · Tip-in, 0.15 xG1–4
- P1 7:24PHIJames van RiemsdykUnassisted · Wrist, 0.28 xG2–4
- P1 9:41STLDavid PerronPPAssists: Alex Pietrangelo, Vladimir Tarasenko · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–5
- P1 19:17PHIClaude GirouxAssists: Sean Couturier, James van Riemsdyk · Wrist, 0.14 xG3–5
- P2 13:06STLBrayden SchennAssists: Vince Dunn, Vladimir Tarasenko · Wrist, 0.26 xG3–6
- P3 10:34STLAlexander SteenAssists: Ivan Barbashev, Robby Fabbri · Backhand, 0.10 xG3–7
Penalties (10)
- P1 3:09PHIRadko Gudas: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 4:13STLCarl Gunnarsson: Hooking2 min
- P1 8:56PHISean Couturier: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 10:38STLTyler Bozak: Hooking2 min
- P3 2:35STLRobert Thomas: High sticking2 min
- P3 5:09PHIRobert Hagg: Roughing2 min
- P3 5:09PHISamuel Morin: Roughing2 min
- P3 5:09STLBrayden Schenn: Roughing2 min
- P3 5:52STLDavid Perron: Hooking2 min
- P3 15:27PHITravis Konecny: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Sundqvist won the faceoff against Couturier
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestGiroux – van Riemsdyk – Couturier3:18
xG 0.36–0.14 (73%)attempts 5–3goals 1–0
- Giroux – Couturier – Konecny5:25
xG 0.24–0.17 (58%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- van Riemsdyk – Voracek – Couturier2:37
xG 0.03–0.05 (36%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Laughton – Raffl – Lindblom2:20
xG 0.00–0.02 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSanheim – Provorov16:32
xG 1.33–0.81 (62%)attempts 17–16goals 2–1
- Gudas – Hagg9:13
xG 0.11–0.22 (33%)attempts 1–8goals 1–0
- Gostisbehere – Myers4:00
xG 0.05–0.58 (8%)attempts 1–5goals 0–1
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestSteen – Fabbri – Barbashev8:58
xG 0.81–0.12 (87%)attempts 11–2goals 2–0
- Perron – Schwartz – Sundqvist11:50
xG 0.31–0.03 (91%)attempts 8–2goals 0–0
- Maroon – Bozak – Thomas9:23
xG 0.41–0.17 (71%)attempts 8–3goals 1–0
- O'Reilly – Schenn – Tarasenko11:02
xG 0.69–1.48 (32%)attempts 12–14goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestPietrangelo – Dunn14:41
xG 0.75–0.45 (63%)attempts 10–10goals 2–0
- Bortuzzo – Edmundson13:50
xG 0.58–0.59 (50%)attempts 15–5goals 1–1
- Bouwmeester – Gunnarsson13:28
xG 0.53–0.87 (38%)attempts 13–11goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (STL − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).