Fri, Apr 5, 2019·Madison Square Garden, New York
Columbus Blue Jackets 3, New York Rangers 2 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 86% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 015 | 011 | 29 | 06 | 1 | 341 |
| NYR | 06 | 19 | 111 | 01 | 0 | 227 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 1:47NYRChris KreiderAssists: Mika Zibanejad · Snap, 0.25 xG0–1
- P3 2:25CBJRyan DzingelAssists: Nick Foligno, David Savard · Slap, 0.10 xG1–1
- P3 14:27CBJArtemi PanarinAssists: David Savard · Wrist, 0.09 xG2–1
- P3 19:53NYRPavel BuchnevichAssists: Mika Zibanejad, Ryan Strome · Wrist, 0.08 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. NYR Kevin Shattenkirk stopped
- 2. CBJ Cam Atkinson stopped
- 3. NYR Mika Zibanejad stopped
- 4. CBJ Artemi Panarin scored
- 5. NYR Tony DeAngelo stopped
Penalties (2)
- P1 11:55NYRVinni Lettieri: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P3 6:03NYRBrady Skjei: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zibanejad won the faceoff against Duchene
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestDubinsky – Nash – Jenner4:37
xG 0.37–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Dzingel – Anderson – Dubois4:05
xG 0.25–0.00 (100%)attempts 8–1goals 0–0
- Atkinson – Panarin – Dubois8:45
xG 0.54–0.29 (65%)attempts 14–4goals 0–0
- Jenner – Bjorkstrand – Texier6:45
xG 0.54–0.43 (56%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJones – Werenski21:56
xG 1.51–0.74 (67%)attempts 27–8goals 0–1
- Savard – Nutivaara19:17
xG 0.86–0.39 (69%)attempts 17–14goals 0–0
- Harrington – Kukan9:46
xG 0.56–0.55 (51%)attempts 12–8goals 1–0
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestKreider – Zibanejad – Buchnevich14:13
xG 0.97–0.66 (59%)attempts 10–13goals 1–0
- Vesey – Howden – Lettieri11:15
xG 0.99–0.75 (57%)attempts 16–12goals 0–2
- Strome – Namestnikov – Lemieux9:54
xG 0.19–0.43 (31%)attempts 6–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLindgren – Pionk10:27
xG 0.68–0.41 (62%)attempts 13–10goals 0–1
- Shattenkirk – Skjei16:31
xG 0.84–0.67 (56%)attempts 14–15goals 0–0
- Staal – Pionk2:03
xG 0.00–0.15 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 86% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).