Sat, Apr 6, 2019·Enterprise Center, St. Louis
Vancouver Canucks 2, St. Louis Blues 3 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 72% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 07 | 05 | 211 | 02 | 0 | 225 |
| STL | 110 | 09 | 111 | 06 | 2 | 336 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 11:50STLBrayden SchennAssists: Vladimir Tarasenko, Ryan O'Reilly · Wrist, 0.06 xG0–1
- P3 3:53VANTanner PearsonPPAssists: Alexander Edler, Thatcher Demko · Backhand, 0.11 xG1–1
- P3 10:29STLVladimir TarasenkoPPAssists: Alex Pietrangelo, Ryan O'Reilly · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–2
- P3 17:51VANElias PetterssonPPAssists: Alexander Edler, Brock Boeser · Slap, 0.04 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. STL Ryan O'Reilly scored
- 2. VAN Elias Pettersson stopped
- 3. STL David Perron scored
- 4. VAN Brock Boeser stopped
Penalties (6)
- P1 18:03STLRobert Bortuzzo: Hooking2 min
- P2 12:24VANAlexander Edler: Holding2 min
- P3 2:34STLPatrick Maroon: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 9:58VANAlexander Edler: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 16:34STLRobert Bortuzzo: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- OT 3:31VANBo Horvat: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Sundqvist won the faceoff against Horvat
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestLeivo – Boeser – Pettersson4:26
xG 0.16–0.03 (83%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Beagle – Granlund – Schaller9:40
xG 0.14–0.12 (53%)attempts 10–3goals 0–0
- Leivo – Boeser – Gaudette4:11
xG 0.12–0.19 (39%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- Virtanen – Boeser – Pettersson3:43
xG 0.00–0.07 (0%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Hutton – Rafferty11:32
xG 0.09–0.12 (44%)attempts 6–10goals 0–0
- Schenn – Hughes13:41
xG 0.17–0.51 (25%)attempts 6–10goals 0–0
- Edler – Stecher18:38
xG 0.05–1.05 (5%)attempts 7–24goals 0–1
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestO'Reilly – Schenn – Tarasenko12:56
xG 0.92–0.04 (96%)attempts 19–5goals 1–0
- Perron – Schwartz – Sundqvist11:16
xG 0.50–0.15 (77%)attempts 13–3goals 0–0
- Steen – Sanford – Barbashev9:12
xG 0.26–0.10 (72%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
- Maroon – Fabbri – Thomas10:37
xG 0.21–0.15 (59%)attempts 6–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestPietrangelo – Dunn17:08
xG 0.85–0.27 (76%)attempts 22–8goals 0–0
- Bortuzzo – Edmundson13:36
xG 0.69–0.19 (79%)attempts 12–11goals 1–0
- Bouwmeester – Gunnarsson16:55
xG 0.47–0.11 (81%)attempts 14–6goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 72% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (STL − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).