Sat, Apr 6, 2019·BB&T Center, Sunrise
New Jersey Devils 4, Florida Panthers 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 75% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 14 | 213 | 08 | 12 | 427 |
| FLA | 012 | 114 | 214 | 00 | 340 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:27NJDNathan BastianAssists: Nico Hischier, Will Butcher · Snap, 0.16 xG1–0
- P2 7:41NJDNathan BastianAssists: Egor Yakovlev, Blake Coleman · Tip-in, 0.12 xG2–0
- P2 11:58FLAAleksander BarkovAssists: Jonathan Huberdeau · Snap, 0.11 xG2–1
- P2 14:29NJDPavel ZachaAssists: Joey Anderson, Kevin Rooney · Snap, 0.24 xG3–1
- P3 16:35FLAJonathan HuberdeauAssists: Evgenii Dadonov, Keith Yandle · Backhand, 0.16 xG3–2
- P3 18:35FLAMike HoffmanAssists: Aleksander Barkov, Vincent Trocheck · Snap, 0.23 xG3–3
- OT 0:56NJDTravis ZajacPPGWGAssists: Damon Severson, Pavel Zacha · Snap, 0.23 xG4–3
Penalties (16)
- P2 7:57FLAAaron Ekblad: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 12:18NJDPavel Zacha: Hooking2 min
- P2 19:18NJDDamon Severson: Interference2 min
- P3 6:52FLAKeith Yandle: Slashing2 min
- P3 9:17FLAVincent Trocheck: Boarding2 min
- P3 9:17NJDMichael McLeod: Fighting5 min
- P3 9:17FLAJoshua Brown: Fighting5 min
- P3 10:54FLADenis Malgin: Roughing2 min
- P3 10:54NJDMiles Wood: Roughing2 min
- P3 10:54NJDMiles Wood: Holding2 min
- P3 10:54NJDMiles Wood: Game misconduct10 min
- P3 13:47FLATroy Brouwer: Cross checking2 min
- P3 13:47FLATroy Brouwer: Misconduct10 min
- P3 13:47NJDNico Hischier: Misconduct10 min
- P3 13:47NJDWill Butcher: Misconduct10 min
- P3 19:59FLAJonathan Huberdeau: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Sheahan won the faceoff against Zajac
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestSeney – Rooney – McLeod8:20
xG 0.46–0.26 (63%)attempts 5–8goals 0–1
- Stafford – Agostino – Zacha11:13
xG 0.25–0.36 (42%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
- Zajac – Wood – Anderson8:22
xG 0.15–0.36 (29%)attempts 4–9goals 0–1
- Coleman – Bastian – Hischier11:15
xG 0.46–0.76 (37%)attempts 8–11goals 2–0
Defence pairs
- Butcher – Santini12:10
xG 0.52–0.53 (50%)attempts 8–9goals 1–1
- Carrick – Yakovlev13:39
xG 0.84–1.04 (45%)attempts 9–13goals 1–0
- Greene – Severson12:37
xG 0.24–0.80 (23%)attempts 8–16goals 0–0
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestMcGinn – Sceviour – Borgstrom7:25
xG 1.22–0.25 (83%)attempts 10–5goals 0–0
- Dadonov – Huberdeau – Barkov12:08
xG 0.78–0.51 (60%)attempts 9–8goals 2–1
- Brouwer – Sheahan – Vatrano4:51
xG 0.03–0.11 (20%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Hoffman – Trocheck – Malgin7:23
xG 0.10–0.20 (34%)attempts 9–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestYandle – Weegar7:06
xG 0.41–0.03 (93%)attempts 5–1goals 1–0
- Matheson – Ekblad10:54
xG 1.04–0.78 (57%)attempts 11–7goals 0–1
- Pysyk – Brown8:53
xG 0.33–0.22 (60%)attempts 10–6goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
FLA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line FLA is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 75% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (FLA − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).