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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 3, 2019·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Minnesota Wild 2, Nashville Predators 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 82% of the time.

NSH winsMIN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:43Shot by Forsberg, saved by Dubnyk
  3. P1 0:49Shot by Forsberg, saved by Dubnyk
  4. P1 2:27Shot by Ellis, saved by Dubnyk
  5. P1 3:31Shot by Forsberg, saved by Dubnyk
  6. P1 3:32Zuccarello: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Duchene, Ekholm, Granlund, Forsberg, Fabbro · MIN Staal, Suter, Parise, Zuccarello, Dumba

  7. P1 3:39Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  8. P1 5:52Seeler: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Bonino, Turris, Ekholm, Smith, Granlund · MIN Zuccarello, Seeler, Hunt, Hartman, Greenway

  9. P1 6:27Shot by Forsberg, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  10. P1 6:54Shot by Smith, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  11. P1 7:42Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  12. P1 7:49Shot by Josi, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  13. P1 7:51Shot by Duchene, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  14. P1 8:34Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Rinne
  15. P1 9:16Josi: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Duchene, Ellis, Granlund, Forsberg · MIN Koivu, Suter, Zucker, Dumba, Fiala

  16. P1 10:32Shot by Dumba, saved by Rinne4v5
  17. P1 10:35Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  18. P1 13:33Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Rinne
  19. P1 14:50Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Dubnyk
  20. P1 17:35Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Rinne
  21. P1 17:37Shot by Brodin, saved by Rinne
  22. P1 18:33Shot by Johansen, saved by Dubnyk
  23. P1 19:19Shot by Grimaldi, saved by Dubnyk
  24. P1 19:56Shot by Donato, saved by Rinne
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 1:01Shot by Granlund, saved by Dubnyk
  28. P2 2:19Shot by Bonino, saved by Dubnyk
  29. P2 2:48Shot by Ellis, saved by Dubnyk
  30. P2 3:37Goal by Ellis (Forsberg, Duchene)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Duchene, Ellis, Granlund, Forsberg · MIN Staal, Parise, Spurgeon, Zuccarello, Brodin

  31. P2 5:22Shot by Kunin, saved by Rinne
  32. P2 5:28Shot by Zucker, saved by Rinne
  33. P2 6:28Shot by Turris, saved by Dubnyk
  34. P2 7:34Shot by Josi, saved by Dubnyk
  35. P2 8:11Shot by Dumba, saved by Rinne
  36. P2 8:43Smith: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Ellis, Smith, Johansen, Arvidsson · MIN Staal, Suter, Parise, Zuccarello, Dumba

  37. P2 11:43Shot by Ekholm, saved by Dubnyk
  38. P2 12:27Shot by Weber, saved by Dubnyk
  39. P2 15:17Grimaldi: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Hamhuis, Turris, Weber, Jarnkrok, Grimaldi · MIN Spurgeon, Zuccarello, Brodin, Donato, Kunin

  40. P2 16:04Goal by Zucker (Hunt, Koivu)4v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Bonino, Josi, Ellis, Sissons · MIN Koivu, Spurgeon, Zucker, Hunt, Fiala

  41. P2 16:15Shot by Kunin, saved by Rinne
  42. P2 16:47Goal by Dumba (Foligno, Suter)+26 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Hamhuis, Weber, Duchene, Granlund, Forsberg · MIN Suter, Foligno, Dumba, Hartman, Eriksson Ek

  43. P2 0:00Period end
  44. P3 0:00Period start
  45. P3 0:27Goal by Granlund (Josi, Duchene)+27 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Duchene, Ellis, Granlund, Forsberg · MIN Staal, Parise, Spurgeon, Zuccarello, Brodin

  46. P3 1:01Shot by Fiala, saved by Rinne
  47. P3 1:54Shot by Bonino, saved by Dubnyk
  48. P3 1:56Goal by Watson (Ellis, Bonino)+24 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Bonino, Josi, Ellis, Watson, Sissons · MIN Suter, Dumba, Donato, Greenway, Kunin

  49. P3 2:17Shot by Foligno, saved by Rinne
  50. P3 3:24Shot by Foligno, saved by Rinne
  51. P3 4:29Shot by Josi, saved by Dubnyk
  52. P3 4:45Shot by Zucker, saved by Rinne
  53. P3 5:15Shot by Zucker, saved by Rinne
  54. P3 5:36Shot by Kunin, saved by Rinne
  55. P3 6:53Shot by Hartman, saved by Rinne
  56. P3 7:00Shot by Suter, saved by Rinne
  57. P3 7:31Shot by Smith, saved by Dubnyk
  58. P3 7:32Goal by Arvidsson (Smith, Johansen)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ellis, Ekholm, Smith, Johansen, Arvidsson · MIN Staal, Suter, Parise, Zuccarello, Dumba

  59. P3 7:45Shot by Forsberg, saved by Dubnyk
  60. P3 8:54Shot by Kunin, saved by Rinne
  61. P3 13:46Shot by Watson, saved by Dubnyk
  62. P3 13:54Shot by Ekholm, saved by Dubnyk
  63. P3 15:52Shot by Zucker, saved by Rinne
  64. P3 16:16Shot by Greenway, saved by Rinne
  65. P3 18:34Goal by Forsberg (Ekholm, Duchene)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Duchene, Ekholm, Granlund, Forsberg, Fabbro · MIN Koivu, Suter, Zucker, Dumba, Fiala, Kunin

  66. P3 19:49Shot by Donato, saved by Rinne
  67. P3 0:00Period end
  68. P3 0:00Final