Wed, Oct 23, 2019·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Pittsburgh Penguins 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 53% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 0:41Shot by Marino, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 1:25Shot by Stamkos, saved by Jarry
- P1 3:59Shot by Killorn, saved by Jarry5v4
- P1 5:24Shot by Lafferty, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
- P1 5:56Shot by Simon, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
- P1 6:09Shot by Simon, saved by Vasilevskiy3v5
- P1 6:23Shot by Palat, saved by Jarry
- P1 7:03Shot by Kahun, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 9:41Shot by Killorn, saved by Jarry
- P1 9:46Goal by Killorn (Kucherov, Sergachev)+14 pts WP
On ice: TBL Coburn, Killorn, Kucherov, Cirelli, Sergachev · PIT Crosby, Schultz, Guentzel, Pettersson, Simon
- P1 12:02Shot by Stamkos, saved by Jarry
- P1 12:19Shot by Kucherov, saved by Jarry
- P1 12:31Shot by Blueger, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 12:43Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Jarry
- P1 12:51Shot by Kucherov, saved by Jarry5v4
- P1 13:02Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Jarry5v4
- P1 13:28Shot by Schultz, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 14:09Shot by Coburn, saved by Jarry5v4
- P1 14:10Shot by Sergachev, saved by Jarry
- P1 14:47Shot by Coburn, saved by Jarry
- P1 14:48Gudbranson: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TBL Coburn, Shattenkirk, Maroon, Witkowski, Paquette · PIT Johnson, Gudbranson, Blandisi, Lafferty, Riikola
- P1 15:38Shot by Stamkos, saved by Jarry
- P1 15:48Shot by Lafferty, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 16:21Shot by Sergachev, saved by Jarry
- P1 17:48Shot by McCann, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 17:58Shot by Kahun, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 18:23Cirelli: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TBL Coburn, Gourde, Paquette, Cernak, Cirelli · PIT Johnson, Hornqvist, Gudbranson, McCann, Kahun
- P1 18:23Hornqvist: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TBL Coburn, Gourde, Paquette, Cernak, Cirelli · PIT Johnson, Hornqvist, Gudbranson, McCann, Kahun
- P1 18:23Cirelli: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TBL Coburn, Gourde, Paquette, Cernak, Cirelli · PIT Johnson, Hornqvist, Gudbranson, McCann, Kahun
- P1 18:24Shot by Letang, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 18:38Shot by Letang, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 0:10Shot by McDonagh, saved by Jarry4v5
- P2 0:52Shot by Killorn, saved by Jarry4v5
- P2 1:12Shot by Hedman, saved by Jarry4v5
- P2 1:15Shot by Gourde, saved by Jarry5v4
- P2 1:16Shot by Gourde, saved by Jarry4v5
- P2 1:17Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Jarry
- P2 1:57Shot by Johnson, saved by Jarry5v4
- P2 2:44Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 3:50Shot by Guentzel, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 4:01Shot by Schultz, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 4:07Shot by Crosby, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 4:15Shot by Simon, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 5:06Goal by Tanev (Blueger)+17 pts WP
On ice: TBL McDonagh, Stamkos, Johnson, Cernak, Joseph · PIT Letang, Blueger, Marino, Tanev, Aston-Reese
- P2 5:44Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Jarry
- P2 6:40Shot by Maroon, saved by Jarry
- P2 7:16Shot by Crosby, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 8:46Shot by Schultz, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
- P2 10:14Shot by Coburn, saved by Jarry4v5
- P2 10:55Shot by Johnson, saved by Jarry
- P2 11:24Kahun: Too many men on the ice (2 min)5v4
On ice: TBL Killorn, Shattenkirk, Hedman, Kucherov, Cirelli · PIT Johnson, Hornqvist, Gudbranson, McCann, Kahun
- P2 12:49Shot by Kucherov, saved by Jarry3v5
- P2 12:59Shot by Sergachev, saved by Jarry4v5
- P2 13:10Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Jarry4v5
- P2 13:41Shot by McDonagh, saved by Jarry
- P2 13:56Shot by Cernak, saved by Jarry
- P2 14:03Shot by Joseph, saved by Jarry
- P2 15:15Shot by Killorn, saved by Jarry
- P2 15:28Shot by Killorn, saved by Jarry
- P2 16:15Shot by Gourde, saved by Jarry
- P2 17:39Shot by Lafferty, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 18:15Shot by Johnson, saved by Jarry
- P2 18:22Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 18:52Shot by Gourde, saved by Jarry
- P2 19:01Goal by Guentzel (Crosby, Simon)+30 pts WP
On ice: TBL McDonagh, Palat, Gourde, Point, Cernak · PIT Crosby, Letang, Guentzel, Marino, Simon
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 0:26Shot by Simon, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 2:31Shot by Letang, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 2:43Shot by Hedman, saved by Jarry
- P3 2:50Shot by Palat, saved by Jarry5v4
- P3 4:02Shot by Stamkos, saved by Jarry5v4
- P3 4:27Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
- P3 4:27Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 4:29Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 4:43Shot by Guentzel, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 5:18Shot by Kucherov, saved by Jarry4v5
- P3 5:25Shot by Kucherov, saved by Jarry4v5
- P3 5:32Shot by Sergachev, saved by Jarry4v5
- P3 7:07Goal by Paquette (McDonagh, Witkowski)5v4+33 pts WP
On ice: TBL Maroon, McDonagh, Witkowski, Paquette, Cernak · PIT Johnson, Gudbranson, Blandisi, Lafferty, Riikola
- P3 8:40Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 8:47Shot by Simon, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 8:53Shot by Guentzel, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 9:39Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 9:51Shot by Kahun, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 10:01Shot by Kahun, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 10:26Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Jarry
- P3 10:40Shot by Blueger, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 13:46Shot by McDonagh, saved by Jarry
- P3 15:19Aston-Reese: Throwing equipment (2 min)
On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev · PIT Johnson, Gudbranson, McCann, Aston-Reese, Kahun
- P3 17:54Shot by Cirelli, saved by Jarry
- P3 17:55Guentzel: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: TBL McDonagh, Palat, Gourde, Cernak, Cirelli · PIT Crosby, Schultz, Guentzel, Pettersson, Simon
- P3 19:03Goal by Hedman (Stamkos, Johnson)+47 pts WP
On ice: TBL Stamkos, Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Point · PIT Johnson, Letang, Blueger, Tanev
- P3 19:49Shot by Schultz, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 19:58Shot by Guentzel, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 19:59Shot by Letang, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Final