Tue, Oct 29, 2019·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville
Chicago Blackhawks 0, Nashville Predators 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 89% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 06 | 08 | 06 | 020 |
| NSH | 119 | 121 | 111 | 351 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 17:56NSHNick BoninoGWGAssists: Rocco Grimaldi, Craig Smith · Backhand, 0.14 xG0–1
- P2 9:03NSHNick BoninoAssists: Rocco Grimaldi, Dante Fabbro · Wrist, 0.16 xG0–2
- P3 3:40NSHNick BoninoAssists: Rocco Grimaldi, Craig Smith · Wrist, 0.24 xG0–3
Penalties (8)
- P1 12:54NSHMikael Granlund: Cross checking2 min
- P2 0:37NSHDante Fabbro: Tripping2 min
- P2 5:06CHIDuncan Keith: Hooking2 min
- P2 17:50CHISlater Koekkoek: Hooking2 min
- P3 8:04CHISlater Koekkoek: High sticking2 min
- P3 11:36CHIPatrick Kane: Hooking2 min
- P3 11:36CHIPatrick Kane: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 12:32NSHRyan Johansen: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Carpenter won the faceoff against Johansen
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- Shaw – Saad – Dach2:55
xG 0.03–0.01 (74%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Kane – Strome – DeBrincat3:19
xG 0.10–0.27 (27%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Toews – Kane – Caggiula4:36
xG 0.02–0.22 (9%)attempts 2–7goals 0–0
- Kubalik – Nylander – Kampf3:01
xG 0.03–0.29 (8%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Gustafsson2:55
xG 0.07–0.01 (83%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Keith – Maatta2:14
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–0goals 0–0
- Keith – de Haan12:53
xG 0.33–0.77 (30%)attempts 6–24goals 0–1
Nashville Predators
Forward lines
- bestBonino – Smith – Grimaldi7:40
xG 1.22–0.11 (92%)attempts 24–2goals 3–0
- Turris – Duchene – Granlund11:27
xG 0.67–0.41 (62%)attempts 12–13goals 0–0
- Jarnkrok – Johansen – Arvidsson11:23
xG 0.56–0.32 (63%)attempts 18–10goals 0–0
- Watson – Salomaki – Sissons9:35
xG 0.25–0.02 (93%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJosi – Ellis14:48
xG 1.15–0.40 (74%)attempts 23–14goals 1–0
- Hamhuis – Irwin8:27
xG 0.73–0.09 (89%)attempts 13–5goals 1–0
- Ekholm – Fabbro15:04
xG 0.86–0.24 (78%)attempts 25–8goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NSH's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NSH is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 89% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NSH − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).