Wed, Oct 30, 2019·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Vancouver Canucks 5, Los Angeles Kings 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 74% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 215 | 121 | 213 | 549 |
| LAK | 18 | 17 | 19 | 324 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:53LAKJeff CarterAssists: Anze Kopitar, Alec Martinez · Backhand, 0.14 xG0–1
- P1 17:39VANBrock BoeserPPAssists: Elias Pettersson, Quinn Hughes · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–1
- P1 19:34VANBo HorvatPPAssists: Quinn Hughes, Elias Pettersson · Tip-in, 0.06 xG2–1
- P2 10:06LAKAdrian KempePPAssists: Anze Kopitar, Drew Doughty · Tip-in, 0.08 xG2–2
- P2 15:17VANBrock BoeserAssists: Elias Pettersson · Backhand, 0.14 xG3–2
- P3 0:55VANBrock BoeserPPGWGAssists: Bo Horvat, J.T. Miller · Tip-in, 0.07 xG4–2
- P3 15:46VANElias PetterssonPPAssists: Brock Boeser, Quinn Hughes · Wrist, 0.07 xG5–2
- P3 18:49LAKJeff CarterAssists: Carl Grundstrom, Drew Doughty · Wrist, 0.14 xG5–3
Penalties (14)
- P1 6:28LAKKyle Clifford: Fighting5 min
- P1 6:28VANMicheal Ferland: Fighting5 min
- P1 9:48VANBrock Boeser: Slashing2 min
- P1 12:18LAKTrevor Lewis: Slashing2 min
- P1 17:09LAKAdrian Kempe: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 19:24LAKDrew Doughty: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 0:00LAKJeff Carter: Tripping2 min
- P2 9:31VANJay Beagle: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 12:05VANJosh Leivo: Hooking2 min
- P2 19:00LAKAustin Wagner: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 1:42VANAlexander Edler: Tripping2 min
- P3 7:07VANAlexander Edler: Tripping2 min
- P3 13:13VANTyler Myers: Hooking2 min
- P3 15:28LAKTrevor Lewis: Tripping2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Horvat won the faceoff against Kempe
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestPearson – Horvat – Virtanen6:59
xG 0.82–0.07 (92%)attempts 13–5goals 0–0
- Miller – Boeser – Pettersson10:26
xG 0.63–0.50 (56%)attempts 12–9goals 1–1
- Sutter – Leivo – Pearson3:48
xG 0.16–0.09 (65%)attempts 8–3goals 0–0
- Sutter – Leivo – Virtanen2:29
xG 0.14–0.15 (47%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEdler – Myers12:10
xG 0.79–0.53 (60%)attempts 17–14goals 0–2
- Tanev – Hughes10:29
xG 0.60–0.48 (56%)attempts 12–5goals 1–0
- Benn – Stecher12:06
xG 0.31–0.43 (42%)attempts 11–11goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestCarter – Kopitar – Grundstrom6:41
xG 0.51–0.35 (59%)attempts 12–8goals 2–1
- Lewis – Clifford – Prokhorkin3:45
xG 0.13–0.03 (84%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Kovalchuk – Brown – Lizotte5:14
xG 0.00–0.17 (0%)attempts 1–6goals 0–0
- Kempe – Wagner – Iafallo5:42
xG 0.12–0.43 (23%)attempts 1–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Martinez – Doughty14:19
xG 0.73–0.82 (47%)attempts 13–18goals 2–1
- Hutton – Walker13:14
xG 0.45–0.94 (33%)attempts 8–20goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 74% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).