Fri, Nov 1, 2019·Enterprise Center, St. Louis
Columbus Blue Jackets 3, St. Louis Blues 4 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 111 | 211 | 08 | 00 | 330 |
| STL | 18 | 29 | 09 | 11 | 427 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 14:05STLRobert ThomasAssists: Tyler Bozak, Zachary Sanford · Wrist, 0.14 xG0–1
- P1 19:54CBJPierre-Luc DuboisAssists: Gustav Nyquist, Cam Atkinson · Wrist, 0.10 xG1–1
- P2 5:41CBJSonny MilanoAssists: Oliver Bjorkstrand, Scott Harrington · Wrist, 0.12 xG2–1
- P2 10:36CBJOliver BjorkstrandPPAssists: Pierre-Luc Dubois, Alexander Wennberg · Wrist, 0.10 xG3–1
- P2 12:07STLBrayden SchennPPAssists: David Perron, Jaden Schwartz · Snap, 0.09 xG3–2
- P2 12:33STLOskar SundqvistAssists: Ivan Barbashev, Mackenzie MacEachern · Wrist, 0.09 xG3–3
- OT 0:08STLDavid PerronPPGWGAssists: Alex Pietrangelo, Ryan O'Reilly · Wrist, 0.07 xG3–4
Penalties (7)
- P1 4:35CBJSonny Milano: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P1 10:09STLDavid Perron: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 9:49STLAlexander Steen: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 11:27CBJSonny Milano: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 14:59STLZachary Sanford: Slashing2 min
- P3 0:11CBJVladislav Gavrikov: Hooking2 min
- P3 18:08CBJSonny Milano: Hooking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Jenner won the faceoff against Barbashev
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestBjorkstrand – Wennberg – Milano8:20
xG 0.62–0.04 (94%)attempts 6–4goals 1–0
- Nyquist – Atkinson – Dubois10:47
xG 0.80–0.57 (58%)attempts 12–10goals 0–1
- Foligno – Jenner – Anderson10:24
xG 0.54–0.51 (51%)attempts 13–6goals 0–1
- Nash – Bemstrom – Lilja4:34
xG 0.06–0.06 (49%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSavard – Harrington11:56
xG 0.71–0.22 (77%)attempts 11–5goals 1–1
- Werenski – Kukan12:19
xG 0.76–0.39 (66%)attempts 9–12goals 0–0
- Jones – Gavrikov15:01
xG 0.70–0.77 (48%)attempts 16–15goals 1–0
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestSundqvist – MacEachern – Barbashev9:59
xG 0.67–0.56 (54%)attempts 16–10goals 1–0
- Steen – Schenn – Schwartz2:27
xG 0.02–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Bozak – Blais – Thomas2:40
xG 0.04–0.03 (63%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Steen – Bozak – Thomas5:53
xG 0.11–0.12 (47%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBouwmeester – Pietrangelo7:27
xG 0.49–0.11 (81%)attempts 10–3goals 1–0
- Bouwmeester – Parayko11:10
xG 0.66–0.56 (54%)attempts 13–11goals 1–0
- Pietrangelo – Faulk2:28
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (STL − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).