Fri, Nov 8, 2019·Rogers Place, Edmonton
New Jersey Devils 0, Edmonton Oilers 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 08 | 012 | 09 | 029 |
| EDM | 05 | 316 | 111 | 432 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 1:55EDMLeon DraisaitlGWGAssists: Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Joel Persson · Backhand, 0.09 xG0–1
- P2 15:45EDMGaetan HaasAssists: Matt Benning, Kris Russell · Tip-in, 0.05 xG0–2
- P2 16:51EDMJames NealAssists: Alex Chiasson, Joel Persson · Backhand, 0.13 xG0–3
- P3 6:02EDMAlex ChiassonPPAssists: Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Connor McDavid · Tip-in, 0.13 xG0–4
Penalties (7)
- P1 12:25NJDJack Hughes: Hooking2 min
- P1 18:20EDMDarnell Nurse: Slashing2 min
- P2 10:20EDMOscar Klefbom: Closing hand on puck2 min
- P2 13:13NJDP.K. Subban: Slashing2 min
- P3 2:40EDMGaetan Haas: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 5:21NJDBlake Coleman: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P3 8:38EDMAlex Chiasson: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Sheahan won the faceoff against Hischier
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestPalmieri – Hall – Hischier7:27
xG 0.65–0.15 (81%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
- Coleman – Gusev – Zacha5:31
xG 0.60–0.22 (73%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
- Zajac – Simmonds – Wood9:01
xG 0.47–0.28 (62%)attempts 12–9goals 0–2
- Palmieri – Hall – Hughes2:15
xG 0.00–0.01 (0%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSeverson – Mueller4:50
xG 0.81–0.28 (74%)attempts 11–7goals 0–1
- Greene – Subban5:19
xG 0.51–0.08 (87%)attempts 11–2goals 0–0
- Subban – Butcher7:45
xG 0.30–0.18 (62%)attempts 7–4goals 0–1
Edmonton Oilers
Forward lines
- bestKassian – Draisaitl – McDavid13:21
xG 0.79–0.69 (53%)attempts 16–16goals 0–0
- Neal – Chiasson – Nugent-Hopkins10:10
xG 0.41–0.32 (56%)attempts 9–7goals 1–0
- Granlund – Russell – Haas7:14
xG 0.28–0.37 (43%)attempts 11–7goals 1–0
- Sheahan – Archibald – Khaira10:09
xG 0.12–0.27 (31%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Klefbom – Persson14:36
xG 0.45–0.64 (42%)attempts 10–16goals 2–0
- Russell – Benning13:58
xG 0.35–0.65 (35%)attempts 11–7goals 1–0
- Nurse – Bear14:54
xG 0.43–1.01 (30%)attempts 18–22goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
EDM's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line EDM is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (EDM − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).