Sun, Nov 10, 2019·TD Garden, Boston
Philadelphia Flyers 3, Boston Bruins 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 214 | 06 | 07 | 02 | 1 | 329 |
| BOS | 05 | 05 | 217 | 01 | 0 | 228 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:50PHITravis KonecnyAssists: Oskar Lindblom, Sean Couturier · Wrist, 0.26 xG1–0
- P1 17:56PHIPhilippe MyersAssists: Travis Konecny, Sean Couturier · Snap, 0.06 xG2–0
- P3 5:59BOSDanton HeinenAssists: Charlie Coyle, Zdeno Chara · Wrist, 0.16 xG2–1
- P3 12:22BOSBrad MarchandAssists: Matt Grzelcyk · Wrist, 0.02 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. BOS Charlie Coyle stopped
- 2. PHI Joel Farabee scored
- 3. BOS Brad Marchand stopped
- 4. PHI Claude Giroux stopped
- 5. BOS David Pastrnak stopped
Penalties (5)
- P1 14:14PHIJoel Farabee: High sticking2 min
- P2 8:11BOSDavid Pastrnak: Hooking2 min
- P3 15:04PHIIvan Provorov: Penalty shot slash on breakaway0 min
- P3 16:40PHIOskar Lindblom: Tripping2 min
- OT 4:38BOSDavid Krejci: Too many men on the ice2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kuraly won the faceoff against Hayes
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestCouturier – Lindblom – Konecny12:14
xG 0.62–0.30 (68%)attempts 14–7goals 2–0
- Pitlick – Andreoff – Raffl9:06
xG 0.30–0.22 (57%)attempts 8–9goals 0–0
- Voracek – Hayes – Twarynski11:09
xG 0.27–0.29 (48%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
- Giroux – van Riemsdyk – Farabee10:06
xG 0.40–0.50 (44%)attempts 10–12goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestNiskanen – Provorov19:07
xG 0.80–0.35 (70%)attempts 19–12goals 0–1
- Sanheim – Myers15:59
xG 0.60–0.44 (58%)attempts 12–14goals 2–0
- Braun – Gostisbehere12:30
xG 0.13–0.59 (18%)attempts 7–10goals 0–1
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestKrejci – Coyle – Heinen11:42
xG 0.28–0.13 (69%)attempts 9–7goals 1–0
- Wagner – Nordstrom – Kuraly9:03
xG 0.29–0.16 (65%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Pastrnak13:31
xG 0.56–0.46 (55%)attempts 16–12goals 1–0
- Bjork – Senyshyn – Lindholm6:58
xG 0.16–0.18 (48%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestChara – McAvoy13:33
xG 0.39–0.19 (68%)attempts 6–8goals 1–0
- Grzelcyk – Clifton9:32
xG 0.50–0.40 (56%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
- Chara – Carlo2:29
xG 0.13–0.03 (82%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).