Tue, Nov 19, 2019·Prudential Center, Newark
Boston Bruins 5, New Jersey Devils 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 57% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 26 | 012 | 310 | 528 |
| NJD | 05 | 111 | 010 | 126 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 14:26BOSMatt GrzelcykAssists: Brad Marchand, David Krejci · Snap, 0.05 xG1–0
- P1 14:40BOSDavid PastrnakGWGAssists: Brad Marchand, David Krejci · Slap, 0.10 xG2–0
- P2 18:11NJDBlake ColemanAssists: Nikita Gusev, Will Butcher · Backhand, 0.04 xG2–1
- P3 3:19BOSDavid PastrnakPPAssists: Brad Marchand, Charlie Coyle · Slap, 0.06 xG3–1
- P3 10:33BOSMatt GrzelcykAssists: Charlie McAvoy · Wrist, 0.05 xG4–1
- P3 13:42BOSConnor CliftonUnassisted · Slap, 0.02 xG5–1
Penalties (4)
- P1 12:12BOSJake DeBrusk: Tripping2 min
- P1 14:47BOSDanton Heinen: Tripping2 min
- P1 18:06NJDTaylor Hall: Tripping2 min
- P3 3:11NJDP.K. Subban: Tripping2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hischier won the faceoff against Krejci
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestRitchie – DeBrusk – Lindholm11:41
xG 0.70–0.26 (73%)attempts 11–9goals 0–0
- Wagner – Nordstrom – Kuraly8:53
xG 0.18–0.14 (57%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- Coyle – Heinen – Bjork13:54
xG 0.44–0.45 (49%)attempts 11–14goals 1–1
- Krejci – Marchand – Pastrnak12:56
xG 0.40–0.77 (35%)attempts 12–19goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestChara – McAvoy17:55
xG 0.71–0.36 (67%)attempts 12–16goals 0–0
- Clifton – Vaakanainen13:12
xG 0.42–0.28 (60%)attempts 11–11goals 1–0
- Carlo – Vaakanainen2:08
xG 0.00–0.03 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestZajac – Coleman – Gusev12:30
xG 0.54–0.27 (67%)attempts 17–8goals 1–1
- Palmieri – Hall – Hischier4:20
xG 0.17–0.05 (78%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Simmonds – Wood – Hughes2:07
xG 0.00–0.02 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
- Hall – Bratt – Hischier6:09
xG 0.17–0.26 (39%)attempts 5–6goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSubban – Butcher11:19
xG 0.72–0.40 (64%)attempts 14–10goals 1–2
- Subban – Mueller2:26
xG 0.10–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Vatanen – Butcher2:37
xG 0.17–0.08 (69%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 57% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).