Sat, Nov 23, 2019·Centre Bell, Montreal
New York Rangers 6, Montréal Canadiens 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 50% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 012 | 313 | 39 | 634 |
| MTL | 318 | 114 | 111 | 543 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:03MTLMax DomiAssists: Nick Suzuki, Artturi Lehkonen · Wrist, 0.35 xG0–1
- P1 10:00MTLArtturi LehkonenAssists: Joel Armia, Mike Reilly · Wrist, 0.03 xG0–2
- P1 19:26MTLMax DomiAssists: Nick Suzuki, Ben Chiarot · Wrist, 0.03 xG0–3
- P2 2:51MTLShea WeberAssists: Ben Chiarot, Charles Hudon · Slap, 0.03 xG0–4
- P2 6:10NYRFilip ChytilAssists: Artemi Panarin, Brady Skjei · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–4
- P2 7:06NYRPavel BuchnevichAssists: Brett Howden · Wrist, 0.14 xG2–4
- P2 9:30NYRBrendan LemieuxAssists: Adam Fox, Jacob Trouba · Tip-in, 0.06 xG3–4
- P3 5:20MTLArtturi LehkonenAssists: Max Domi · Wrist, 0.11 xG3–5
- P3 5:51NYRArtemi PanarinAssists: Chris Kreider, Ryan Strome · Backhand, 0.08 xG4–5
- P3 8:40NYRBrendan LemieuxSHAssists: Brett Howden, Brady Skjei · Wrist, 0.13 xG5–5
- P3 12:10NYRJacob TroubaGWGAssists: Ryan Strome · Wrist, 0.01 xG6–5
Penalties (8)
- P1 3:00NYRJacob Trouba: Holding2 min
- P2 3:49NYRJacob Trouba: High sticking2 min
- P2 7:28MTLPhillip Danault: Holding2 min
- P2 13:21MTLJeff Petry: Holding2 min
- P2 14:48MTLBen Chiarot: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 16:47NYRJacob Trouba: Hooking2 min
- P3 7:09NYRArtemi Panarin: Interference2 min
- P3 13:37NYRPavel Buchnevich: Too many men on the ice2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Danault won the faceoff against Strome
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestKreider – Buchnevich – Chytil5:09
xG 0.97–0.04 (96%)attempts 12–3goals 0–0
- Fast – Howden – Kakko2:30
xG 0.00–0.04 (0%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Kreider – Panarin – Chytil2:20
xG 0.04–0.08 (33%)attempts 1–2goals 1–0
- Fast – Strome – Panarin6:42
xG 0.13–0.20 (40%)attempts 5–10goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestFox – Lindgren9:44
xG 0.85–0.38 (69%)attempts 9–16goals 1–0
- Skjei – Trouba13:53
xG 0.65–0.46 (58%)attempts 17–16goals 2–2
- DeAngelo – Hajek6:02
xG 0.02–0.65 (3%)attempts 2–12goals 0–2
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- bestThompson – Weal – Cousins7:28
xG 0.34–0.05 (87%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Lehkonen – Domi – Suzuki7:35
xG 0.62–0.51 (55%)attempts 12–9goals 3–0
- Tatar – Gallagher – Danault8:57
xG 0.36–0.44 (45%)attempts 16–8goals 0–1
- Armia – Hudon – Kotkaniemi4:03
xG 0.04–0.22 (17%)attempts 4–6goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestWeber – Chiarot15:08
xG 1.16–0.51 (70%)attempts 31–12goals 3–2
- Petry – Mete11:06
xG 0.51–0.59 (46%)attempts 14–13goals 1–1
- Reilly – Fleury8:57
xG 0.32–0.43 (43%)attempts 13–9goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MTL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MTL is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 50% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MTL − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).