Sat, Nov 23, 2019·Bell MTS Place, Winnipeg
Columbus Blue Jackets 3, Winnipeg Jets 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 61% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 111 | 218 | 06 | 335 |
| WPG | 110 | 29 | 112 | 431 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:59CBJPierre-Luc DuboisPPAssists: Boone Jenner, Oliver Bjorkstrand · Wrist, 0.16 xG1–0
- P1 8:23WPGBlake WheelerAssists: Jack Roslovic, Dmitry Kulikov · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–1
- P2 5:19WPGNikolaj EhlersAssists: Blake Wheeler · Wrist, 0.14 xG1–2
- P2 6:30CBJSeth JonesPPAssists: Zach Werenski, Cam Atkinson · Slap, 0.04 xG2–2
- P2 7:17CBJGustav NyquistPPAssists: Oliver Bjorkstrand, Nick Foligno · Wrist, 0.28 xG3–2
- P2 14:43WPGMathieu PerreaultAssists: Adam Lowry, Andrew Copp · Wrist, 0.05 xG3–3
- P3 18:06WPGAndrew CoppGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.06 xG3–4
Penalties (8)
- P1 4:34WPGLuca Sbisa: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 16:45CBJPierre-Luc Dubois: Tripping2 min
- P2 3:05WPGNikolaj Ehlers: Tripping2 min
- P2 5:34WPGTucker Poolman: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 5:43WPGLuca Sbisa: Boarding2 min · PPG
- P2 15:31WPGBlake Wheeler: Hooking2 min
- P3 3:53CBJVladislav Gavrikov: Hooking2 min
- P3 9:08CBJJosh Anderson: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Lowry won the faceoff against Jenner
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestAnderson – Wennberg – Robinson10:02
xG 0.69–0.15 (82%)attempts 15–5goals 0–0
- Nyquist – Jenner – Bjorkstrand8:44
xG 0.38–0.15 (72%)attempts 11–8goals 0–0
- Milano – Dubois – Bemstrom6:58
xG 0.13–0.12 (52%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Foligno – Atkinson – Texier8:19
xG 0.14–0.37 (28%)attempts 8–9goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestKukan – Gavrikov13:29
xG 0.88–0.21 (81%)attempts 19–6goals 0–1
- Jones – Werenski15:24
xG 0.67–0.60 (53%)attempts 16–15goals 0–1
- Savard – Murray13:06
xG 0.11–0.46 (20%)attempts 8–16goals 0–2
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestWheeler – Ehlers – Roslovic11:46
xG 0.52–0.27 (66%)attempts 14–11goals 1–0
- Shaw – Gustafsson – Luoto3:33
xG 0.08–0.09 (47%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Scheifele – Connor – Laine13:54
xG 0.22–0.59 (27%)attempts 10–13goals 0–0
- Perreault – Lowry – Copp11:26
xG 0.22–0.64 (25%)attempts 9–13goals 2–0
Defence pairs
- bestPoolman – Morrissey8:03
xG 0.24–0.17 (58%)attempts 7–7goals 1–0
- Sbisa – Poolman6:30
xG 0.05–0.09 (35%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Kulikov – Pionk18:17
xG 0.49–0.78 (38%)attempts 15–19goals 2–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
WPG's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line WPG is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 61% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (WPG − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).