Tue, Nov 26, 2019·Centre Bell, Montreal
Boston Bruins 8, Montréal Canadiens 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 38 | 37 | 29 | 824 |
| MTL | 113 | 014 | 010 | 137 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:03BOSJake DeBruskPPAssists: Sean Kuraly, David Krejci · Wrist, 0.19 xG1–0
- P1 12:41MTLShea WeberAssists: Brendan Gallagher, Tomas Tatar · Wrist, 0.17 xG1–1
- P1 14:24BOSDavid PastrnakPPGWGAssists: Charlie Coyle, Brad Marchand · Snap, 0.09 xG2–1
- P1 19:23BOSBrad MarchandAssists: Charlie Coyle · Backhand, 0.15 xG3–1
- P2 0:08BOSDavid PastrnakAssists: Brad Marchand, Zdeno Chara · Wrist, 0.05 xG4–1
- P2 1:10BOSAnders BjorkAssists: Sean Kuraly · Wrist, 0.29 xG5–1
- P2 9:06BOSDavid PastrnakAssists: Brandon Carlo, David Krejci · Tip-in, 0.08 xG6–1
- P3 8:26BOSCharlie CoyleAssists: Torey Krug, Sean Kuraly · Wrist, 0.11 xG7–1
- P3 17:58BOSDanton HeinenAssists: Jack Studnicka, Torey Krug · Wrist, 0.15 xG8–1
Penalties (6)
- P1 6:10MTLBrendan Gallagher: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 13:56MTLNate Thompson: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 14:32BOSCharlie McAvoy: Interference2 min
- P2 12:43BOSConnor Clifton: High sticking2 min
- P3 15:38MTLMax Domi: Cross checking2 min
- P3 15:38BOSJack Studnicka: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Danault won the faceoff against Krejci
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- Kuraly – Heinen – Bjork10:05
xG 0.35–0.44 (44%)attempts 8–9goals 1–0
- Coyle – DeBrusk – Studnicka10:08
xG 0.10–0.26 (28%)attempts 4–10goals 0–0
- Wagner – Nordstrom – Lindholm10:03
xG 0.16–0.41 (28%)attempts 5–12goals 0–0
- Krejci – Marchand – Pastrnak11:39
xG 0.37–1.14 (25%)attempts 11–20goals 2–1
Defence pairs
- bestKrug – Carlo15:03
xG 1.01–0.75 (57%)attempts 20–15goals 4–0
- Grzelcyk – Carlo2:21
xG 0.00–0.00 (0%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Grzelcyk – Clifton13:57
xG 0.22–0.75 (23%)attempts 8–17goals 1–0
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- bestTatar – Gallagher – Danault12:08
xG 1.15–0.36 (76%)attempts 20–12goals 1–1
- Cousins – Armia – Kotkaniemi7:30
xG 0.31–0.08 (79%)attempts 11–3goals 0–0
- Thompson – Weal – Hudon7:12
xG 0.20–0.04 (85%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Armia – Hudon – Kotkaniemi3:30
xG 0.12–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestWeber – Chiarot18:16
xG 1.28–0.29 (81%)attempts 25–9goals 1–1
- Reilly – Fleury14:03
xG 0.60–0.19 (76%)attempts 15–13goals 0–0
- Petry – Mete12:27
xG 0.34–0.89 (27%)attempts 15–11goals 0–3
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MTL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MTL is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MTL − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).