Wed, Nov 27, 2019·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Philadelphia Flyers 3, Columbus Blue Jackets 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 19 | 28 | 05 | 322 |
| CBJ | 28 | 07 | 015 | 230 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:51CBJNick FolignoAssists: Emil Bemstrom, Sonny Milano · Snap, 0.30 xG0–1
- P1 18:38PHITyler PitlickAssists: James van Riemsdyk, Michael Raffl · Backhand, 0.09 xG1–1
- P1 19:24CBJSeth JonesAssists: Gustav Nyquist, Oliver Bjorkstrand · Snap, 0.04 xG1–2
- P2 3:19PHIScott LaughtonAssists: Joel Farabee, Kevin Hayes · Snap, 0.23 xG2–2
- P2 16:35PHIClaude GirouxPPGWGAssists: Ivan Provorov, Travis Konecny · Wrist, 0.04 xG3–2
Penalties (7)
- P1 5:10CBJJosh Anderson: Slashing2 min
- P1 12:47CBJSeth Jones: Roughing2 min
- P1 15:19CBJOliver Bjorkstrand: Hooking2 min
- P2 0:00CBJAlexander Wennberg: Delaying game face off violation2 min
- P2 11:16PHITyler Pitlick: Interference2 min
- P2 15:15CBJSonny Milano: Interference2 min · PPG
- P3 0:00CBJBoone Jenner: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Couturier won the faceoff against Wennberg
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestHayes – Laughton – Farabee9:06
xG 0.27–0.06 (82%)attempts 8–2goals 1–1
- van Riemsdyk – Pitlick – Raffl8:18
xG 0.17–0.21 (45%)attempts 4–7goals 1–0
- Voracek – Couturier – Lindblom11:06
xG 0.21–0.40 (35%)attempts 8–11goals 0–0
- Giroux – Konecny – Frost8:15
xG 0.28–0.51 (35%)attempts 8–6goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Hagg – Myers12:05
xG 0.18–0.36 (34%)attempts 10–14goals 0–0
- Braun – Sanheim13:46
xG 0.38–0.78 (33%)attempts 10–10goals 1–0
- Niskanen – Provorov13:37
xG 0.38–0.94 (29%)attempts 9–13goals 0–2
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestAnderson – Wennberg – Milano2:02
xG 0.63–0.05 (93%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Foligno – Milano – Bemstrom2:14
xG 0.49–0.15 (76%)attempts 5–2goals 1–0
- Nyquist – Jenner – Bjorkstrand12:29
xG 0.44–0.11 (80%)attempts 14–5goals 1–0
- Foligno – Atkinson – Dubois3:54
xG 0.11–0.02 (81%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKukan – Gavrikov11:05
xG 0.78–0.30 (72%)attempts 7–7goals 1–1
- Jones – Werenski15:35
xG 0.83–0.58 (59%)attempts 16–13goals 1–0
- Savard – Murray13:04
xG 0.13–0.39 (25%)attempts 8–8goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).