Fri, Nov 29, 2019·TD Garden, Boston
New York Rangers 2, Boston Bruins 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 58% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 111 | 111 | 06 | 00 | 228 |
| BOS | 07 | 18 | 111 | 11 | 327 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 14:14NYRPavel BuchnevichAssists: Tony DeAngelo, Jacob Trouba · Wrist, 0.10 xG1–0
- P2 6:21NYRFilip ChytilAssists: Ryan Strome, Artemi Panarin · Wrist, 0.12 xG2–0
- P2 18:28BOSSean KuralyAssists: Jake DeBrusk, Brandon Carlo · Tip-in, 0.13 xG2–1
- P3 4:27BOSDavid PastrnakAssists: David Krejci, Jake DeBrusk · Snap, 0.13 xG2–2
- OT 1:40BOSDavid KrejciGWGAssists: David Pastrnak, Jaroslav Halak · Wrist, 0.11 xG2–3
Penalties (8)
- P1 12:09BOSSean Kuraly: Tripping2 min
- P2 2:30BOSConnor Clifton: Tripping2 min
- P2 10:51NYRBrendan Smith: Fighting5 min
- P2 10:51BOSCharlie McAvoy: Fighting5 min
- P2 12:52BOSMatt Grzelcyk: High sticking2 min
- P2 13:51BOSSean Kuraly: Cross checking2 min
- P3 10:35NYRBrendan Smith: Hooking2 min
- P3 12:58BOSPar Lindholm: High sticking double minor4 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zibanejad won the faceoff against Krejci
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestStrome – Panarin – Chytil11:11
xG 0.71–0.58 (55%)attempts 11–10goals 1–0
- Kreider – Zibanejad – Buchnevich11:36
xG 0.29–0.21 (58%)attempts 8–9goals 0–1
- Lemieux – Howden – Kakko8:04
xG 0.10–0.58 (15%)attempts 5–13goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Skjei – Trouba12:45
xG 0.38–0.35 (53%)attempts 12–14goals 0–1
- DeAngelo – Hajek9:49
xG 0.44–0.55 (44%)attempts 8–10goals 1–1
- Fox – Lindgren9:45
xG 0.28–0.39 (41%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestKuraly – DeBrusk – Studnicka2:34
xG 0.47–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–0goals 1–0
- Coyle – DeBrusk – Studnicka3:44
xG 0.27–0.07 (80%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Wagner – Nordstrom – Lindholm6:48
xG 0.30–0.17 (63%)attempts 9–2goals 0–0
- Kuraly – Heinen – Bjork3:57
xG 0.08–0.01 (89%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKrug – Carlo9:35
xG 0.76–0.11 (88%)attempts 14–4goals 1–0
- Chara – Carlo2:46
xG 0.19–0.01 (96%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Krug – McAvoy4:18
xG 0.30–0.13 (70%)attempts 7–5goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 58% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).