Sat, Nov 30, 2019·Prudential Center, Newark
New York Rangers 4, New Jersey Devils 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 17 | 08 | 38 | 423 |
| NJD | 011 | 010 | 012 | 033 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 12:45NYRAdam FoxPPGWGAssists: Kaapo Kakko, Jacob Trouba · Wrist, 0.15 xG1–0
- P3 2:35NYRMika ZibanejadSHAssists: Brendan Lemieux · Snap, 0.19 xG2–0
- P3 5:52NYRJesper FastSHAssists: Mika Zibanejad, Jacob Trouba · Snap, 0.07 xG3–0
- P3 17:18NYRBrady SkjeiENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.46 xG4–0
Penalties (14)
- P1 10:57NJDPavel Zacha: Holding2 min · PPG
- P1 19:28NYRRyan Strome: High sticking2 min
- P2 2:00NYRArtemi Panarin: Tripping2 min
- P2 6:26NYRBrady Skjei: Hooking2 min
- P2 9:14NJDTravis Zajac: High sticking2 min
- P2 15:23NYRArtemi Panarin: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 19:27NYRLibor Hajek: High sticking double minor4 min
- P3 5:21NYRChris Kreider: Boarding5 min
- P3 5:21NJDKevin Rooney: Fighting5 min
- P3 5:21NYRChris Kreider: Fighting5 min
- P3 5:21NYRChris Kreider: Game misconduct10 min
- P3 6:46NJDNikita Gusev: Slashing2 min
- P3 16:56NYRRyan Lindgren: Slashing2 min
- P3 16:56NJDWayne Simmonds: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zibanejad won the faceoff against Hischier
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against. Shift data for this game is incomplete, so treat these as rough.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- Zibanejad – Buchnevich – Lemieux6:52
xG 0.44–0.40 (52%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
- Strome – Panarin – Kakko7:37
xG 0.18–0.30 (37%)attempts 3–9goals 0–0
- Kreider – Fast – Chytil3:36
xG 0.06–0.19 (23%)attempts 2–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Fox – Lindgren5:58
xG 0.06–0.17 (27%)attempts 3–7goals 0–0
- DeAngelo – Hajek8:58
xG 0.26–0.48 (35%)attempts 6–13goals 0–0
- Skjei – Trouba9:31
xG 0.40–0.67 (37%)attempts 6–13goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestZajac – Coleman – Wood2:05
xG 0.13–0.08 (63%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Zajac – Coleman – Gusev8:35
xG 0.31–0.30 (51%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
- Wood – Rooney – Bratt2:41
xG 0.04–0.03 (58%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Simmonds – Zacha – Boqvist7:02
xG 0.23–0.24 (50%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestTennyson – Butcher8:23
xG 0.54–0.24 (70%)attempts 11–4goals 0–0
- Greene – Subban2:12
xG 0.21–0.03 (86%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Greene – Severson10:45
xG 0.23–0.30 (43%)attempts 15–5goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).