Mon, Dec 2, 2019·Honda Center, Anaheim
Los Angeles Kings 2, Anaheim Ducks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 07 | 219 | 010 | 236 |
| ANA | 27 | 16 | 17 | 420 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:14ANADerek GrantAssists: Nicolas Deslauriers, Carter Rowney · Wrist, 0.16 xG0–1
- P1 9:47ANAJakob SilfverbergPPAssists: Hampus Lindholm, Rickard Rakell · Slap, 0.12 xG0–2
- P2 6:01LAKKurtis MacDermidAssists: Trevor Lewis, Michael Amadio · Wrist, 0.01 xG1–2
- P2 6:57ANACarter RowneyGWGAssists: Hampus Lindholm, Michael Del Zotto · Wrist, 0.12 xG1–3
- P2 11:42LAKNikolai ProkhorkinAssists: Sean Walker, Tyler Toffoli · Backhand, 0.10 xG2–3
- P3 19:22ANADerek GrantENAssists: Ryan Getzlaf, Hampus Lindholm · Wrist, 0.55 xG2–4
Penalties (3)
- P1 8:01LAKTyler Toffoli: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 7:53ANAHampus Lindholm: Interference2 min
- P2 9:33ANAErik Gudbranson: Delaying game2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Getzlaf
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestLewis – Clifford – Prokhorkin3:30
xG 0.53–0.00 (100%)attempts 10–1goals 1–0
- Carter – Toffoli – Prokhorkin7:39
xG 0.55–0.30 (65%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
- Kempe – Wagner – Lizotte5:47
xG 0.35–0.12 (75%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Carter – Toffoli – Amadio3:22
xG 0.00–0.10 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHutton – Roy18:11
xG 0.99–0.29 (77%)attempts 23–10goals 0–0
- Doughty – Walker2:23
xG 0.10–0.08 (55%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Doughty – Ryan18:08
xG 0.51–0.55 (48%)attempts 9–15goals 0–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestGetzlaf – Shore – Terry12:39
xG 0.35–0.00 (100%)attempts 12–2goals 0–0
- Grant – Deslauriers – Rowney9:25
xG 0.55–0.40 (58%)attempts 11–10goals 1–0
- Henrique – Ritchie – Kase9:59
xG 0.33–0.65 (34%)attempts 12–15goals 0–0
- Silfverberg – Rakell – Steel12:45
xG 0.13–1.13 (10%)attempts 3–25goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestDel Zotto – Lindholm17:04
xG 0.81–0.67 (55%)attempts 14–14goals 1–0
- Fowler – Gudbranson18:21
xG 0.58–0.64 (47%)attempts 20–20goals 1–1
- Holzer – Guhle12:03
xG 0.24–0.94 (21%)attempts 7–17goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).