Fri, Dec 6, 2019·Prudential Center, Newark
Chicago Blackhawks 2, New Jersey Devils 1 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 69% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 07 | 115 | 05 | 02 | 3 | 229 |
| NJD | 110 | 012 | 06 | 02 | 2 | 130 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:31NJDTaylor HallAssists: Sami Vatanen, Nikita Gusev · Snap, 0.02 xG0–1
- P2 9:35CHIAlex DeBrincatAssists: Patrick Kane, Dylan Strome · Wrist, 0.32 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. CHI Jonathan Toews scored
- 2. NJD Nikita Gusev scored
- 3. CHI Patrick Kane scored
- 4. NJD Jesper Boqvist scored
- 5. CHI Alex DeBrincat stopped
- 6. NJD Kyle Palmieri stopped
- 7. CHI Dylan Strome stopped
- 8. NJD Taylor Hall stopped
- 9. CHI Kirby Dach scored
- 10. NJD Jack Hughes stopped
Penalties (8)
- P1 1:19CHIAlex Nylander: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 4:21CHICalvin de Haan: Interference2 min
- P1 6:29CHIDennis Gilbert: Fighting5 min
- P1 6:29NJDWayne Simmonds: Fighting5 min
- P1 12:30CHIZack Smith: Elbowing2 min
- P2 8:19NJDSami Vatanen: Hooking2 min
- P3 4:01NJDKyle Palmieri: Slashing2 min
- P3 6:16CHIZack Smith: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Strome won the faceoff against Zajac
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against. Shift data for this game is incomplete, so treat these as rough.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestToews – Saad – Nylander9:17
xG 0.42–0.17 (72%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
- Kane – Strome – DeBrincat16:09
xG 0.91–0.88 (51%)attempts 21–17goals 0–0
- Smith – Carpenter – Dach9:14
xG 0.37–0.36 (51%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
- Kubalik – Kampf – Wedin6:23
xG 0.51–0.59 (46%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMurphy – Koekkoek13:51
xG 0.68–0.54 (56%)attempts 12–13goals 0–0
- Seabrook – de Haan16:35
xG 0.90–0.92 (50%)attempts 20–19goals 0–0
- Gustafsson – Gilbert11:33
xG 0.19–0.36 (35%)attempts 9–10goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestZajac – Coleman – Bratt3:58
xG 0.44–0.19 (70%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Simmonds – Wood – Rooney6:00
xG 0.32–0.37 (47%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Palmieri – Hall – Hughes9:49
xG 0.34–0.51 (40%)attempts 11–8goals 0–0
- Zajac – Coleman – Gusev7:47
xG 0.15–0.34 (31%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGreene – Severson4:51
xG 0.44–0.27 (62%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Greene – Subban12:45
xG 0.70–0.73 (49%)attempts 13–11goals 0–0
- Butcher – Mueller9:59
xG 0.38–0.58 (40%)attempts 7–12goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 69% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).