Sat, Dec 7, 2019·BB&T Center, Sunrise
Columbus Blue Jackets 1, Florida Panthers 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 010 | 014 | 110 | 134 |
| FLA | 13 | 115 | 29 | 427 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:18FLAEvgenii DadonovAssists: Aleksander Barkov, Keith Yandle · Tip-in, 0.10 xG0–1
- P2 8:53FLAJoshua BrownGWGAssists: Aleksander Barkov, Jonathan Huberdeau · Tip-in, 0.10 xG0–2
- P3 6:09FLABrett ConnollyPPAssists: Keith Yandle, Mike Hoffman · Tip-in, 0.19 xG0–3
- P3 10:34CBJVladislav GavrikovAssists: Alexandre Texier, Josh Anderson · Snap, 0.03 xG1–3
- P3 17:37FLAMike HoffmanENAssists: Colton Sceviour · Backhand, 0.53 xG1–4
Penalties (9)
- P1 8:52CBJEric Robinson: Holding2 min
- P1 10:49FLABrian Boyle: Holding2 min
- P1 14:56CBJNick Foligno: Fighting5 min
- P1 14:56FLAJoshua Brown: Fighting5 min
- P2 1:22CBJAlexandre Texier: Holding2 min
- P2 13:22CBJPierre-Luc Dubois: Roughing2 min
- P2 19:24FLAFrank Vatrano: Slashing2 min
- P3 5:58CBJDean Kukan: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 11:19FLAAaron Ekblad: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Trocheck won the faceoff against Jenner
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against. Shift data for this game is incomplete, so treat these as rough.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestAnderson – Milano – Dubois2:23
xG 0.22–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSavard – Murray3:43
xG 0.32–0.00 (98%)attempts 9–1goals 0–0
- Gavrikov – Peeke4:00
xG 0.09–0.03 (74%)attempts 4–3goals 1–0
- Jones – Kukan4:34
xG 0.11–0.15 (43%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestHoffman – Connolly – Trocheck3:29
xG 0.09–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Vatrano – Acciari – Saarela3:21
xG 0.06–0.04 (59%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Boyle – Sceviour – Toninato2:18
xG 0.00–0.06 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–1
- Dadonov – Huberdeau – Barkov4:05
xG 0.28–0.56 (33%)attempts 3–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestWeegar – Ekblad5:36
xG 0.32–0.11 (75%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
- Matheson – Brown4:42
xG 0.12–0.19 (39%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- Yandle – Stralman3:34
xG 0.04–0.26 (12%)attempts 2–6goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
FLA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line FLA is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (FLA − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).