Thu, Dec 12, 2019·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Columbus Blue Jackets 0, Pittsburgh Penguins 1 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 71% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 06 | 05 | 06 | 00 | 017 |
| PIT | 012 | 06 | 012 | 12 | 132 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- OT 3:02PITBryan RustPPGWGAssists: Kris Letang, Jake Guentzel · Backhand, 0.16 xG0–1
Penalties (4)
- P1 6:24CBJAndrew Peeke: Slashing2 min
- P1 12:52CBJPierre-Luc Dubois: High sticking2 min
- P2 17:30PITMarcus Pettersson: Tripping2 min
- OT 1:25CBJPierre-Luc Dubois: Slashing2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Jenner won the faceoff against Blueger
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestAtkinson – Milano – Dubois4:11
xG 0.26–0.07 (78%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Nyquist – Jenner – Bjorkstrand4:06
xG 0.34–0.19 (64%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Bjorkstrand – Milano – Dubois9:20
xG 0.39–0.34 (53%)attempts 11–8goals 0–0
- Foligno – Anderson – Texier3:33
xG 0.12–0.08 (58%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGavrikov – Peeke11:49
xG 0.40–0.24 (62%)attempts 12–7goals 0–0
- Jones – Gavrikov3:12
xG 0.00–0.06 (0%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
- Kukan – Peeke2:53
xG 0.00–0.16 (0%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
Pittsburgh Penguins
Forward lines
- bestBlueger – Simon – Tanev5:37
xG 0.41–0.04 (90%)attempts 8–3goals 0–0
- Galchenyuk – Blueger – Tanev6:59
xG 0.50–0.26 (66%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- McCann – Aston-Reese – Kahun8:49
xG 0.22–0.01 (94%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
- Rust – Galchenyuk – Guentzel6:05
xG 0.39–0.28 (59%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLetang – Marino17:27
xG 1.32–0.53 (71%)attempts 27–14goals 0–0
- Johnson – Schultz16:55
xG 0.31–0.15 (67%)attempts 10–9goals 0–0
- Johnson – Ruhwedel2:53
xG 0.06–0.03 (69%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PIT's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PIT is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 71% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PIT − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).