Thu, Dec 12, 2019·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
New York Rangers 6, San Jose Sharks 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 012 | 28 | 410 | 630 |
| SJS | 17 | 19 | 12 | 318 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:13SJSTomas HertlSHUnassisted · Wrist, 0.06 xG0–1
- P2 5:02NYRJesper FastAssists: Filip Chytil, Greg McKegg · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–1
- P2 7:56NYRArtemi PanarinAssists: Ryan Strome, Brady Skjei · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–1
- P2 11:32SJSLogan CoutureAssists: Timo Meier · Wrist, 0.19 xG2–2
- P3 4:12SJSBrenden DillonAssists: Kevin Labanc, Joe Thornton · Slap, 0.10 xG2–3
- P3 8:49NYRMika ZibanejadPPAssists: Tony DeAngelo, Artemi Panarin · Wrist, 0.03 xG3–3
- P3 13:10NYRMika ZibanejadGWGAssists: Chris Kreider, Jesper Fast · Wrist, 0.06 xG4–3
- P3 16:49NYRArtemi PanarinAssists: Chris Kreider, Brady Skjei · Wrist, 0.05 xG5–3
- P3 17:36NYRArtemi PanarinENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.54 xG6–3
Penalties (5)
- P1 7:24SJSKevin Labanc: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P1 15:43NYRBrady Skjei: Tripping2 min
- P1 18:21SJSMelker Karlsson: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 7:42SJSBarclay Goodrow: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 14:11NYRKaapo Kakko: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hertl won the faceoff against Zibanejad
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestStrome – Panarin – Kakko11:05
xG 0.44–0.30 (60%)attempts 13–4goals 1–0
- Kreider – Zibanejad – Buchnevich10:50
xG 0.27–0.43 (38%)attempts 7–8goals 0–2
- McKegg – Fast – Chytil7:14
xG 0.16–0.69 (19%)attempts 6–6goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestSkjei – Trouba13:01
xG 1.04–0.58 (64%)attempts 19–9goals 3–2
- Fox – Lindgren11:23
xG 0.27–0.30 (47%)attempts 9–3goals 0–0
- Staal – DeAngelo11:23
xG 0.21–0.35 (38%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestThornton – Hertl – Labanc11:41
xG 0.89–0.16 (85%)attempts 14–8goals 1–0
- Couture – Kane – Meier12:06
xG 0.91–0.68 (57%)attempts 10–16goals 1–1
- Sorensen – Karlsson – Gambrell8:31
xG 0.13–0.03 (82%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Marleau – Goodrow – Blichfeld9:36
xG 0.09–0.15 (38%)attempts 3–8goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestHeed – Ferraro11:56
xG 0.82–0.09 (90%)attempts 11–5goals 1–0
- Burns – Dillon17:27
xG 0.54–0.52 (51%)attempts 7–16goals 1–0
- Vlasic – Karlsson13:20
xG 0.58–0.94 (38%)attempts 10–17goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).