Sat, Dec 14, 2019·Honda Center, Anaheim
New York Rangers 3, Anaheim Ducks 4 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 211 | 03 | 116 | 02 | 1 | 332 |
| ANA | 110 | 118 | 113 | 01 | 2 | 442 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:10NYRMika ZibanejadUnassisted · Backhand, 0.14 xG1–0
- P1 3:59NYRArtemi PanarinAssists: Ryan Strome · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–0
- P1 8:53ANAJakob SilfverbergPPAssists: Hampus Lindholm, Rickard Rakell · Tip-in, 0.13 xG2–1
- P2 1:02ANAErik GudbransonAssists: Adam Henrique, Rickard Rakell · Snap, 0.07 xG2–2
- P3 1:14NYRMika ZibanejadAssists: Tony DeAngelo · Snap, 0.12 xG3–2
- P3 18:14ANAHampus LindholmPPAssists: Rickard Rakell · Slap, 0.08 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. NYR Artemi Panarin stopped
- 2. ANA Rickard Rakell stopped
- 3. NYR Mika Zibanejad scored
- 4. ANA Maxime Comtois stopped
- 5. NYR Tony DeAngelo stopped
- 6. ANA Ondrej Kase scored
- 7. NYR Kaapo Kakko stopped
- 8. ANA Jakob Silfverberg scored
Penalties (8)
- P1 6:56NYRAdam Fox: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P1 12:11ANASam Steel: Interference2 min
- P2 8:41NYRMarc Staal: Slashing2 min
- P2 9:24NYRJesper Fast: Holding2 min
- P2 9:24ANAHampus Lindholm: Holding2 min
- P2 11:13NYRRyan Lindgren: Tripping2 min
- P3 11:02ANACam Fowler: Slashing2 min
- P3 16:49NYRBrady Skjei: Tripping2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Getzlaf won the faceoff against Zibanejad
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestStrome – Panarin – Kakko11:19
xG 0.75–0.62 (55%)attempts 12–9goals 1–1
- McKegg – Buchnevich – Chytil2:56
xG 0.34–0.21 (62%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Kreider – Zibanejad – Buchnevich5:52
xG 0.26–0.19 (57%)attempts 4–4goals 1–0
- Fast – Zibanejad – Lemieux2:51
xG 0.20–0.26 (44%)attempts 3–6goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestFox – Lindgren8:45
xG 0.39–0.06 (87%)attempts 6–5goals 1–0
- Skjei – Trouba13:02
xG 0.42–0.59 (42%)attempts 10–14goals 1–0
- Staal – DeAngelo10:11
xG 0.35–0.89 (28%)attempts 6–15goals 0–1
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestTerry – Steel – Comtois9:52
xG 0.77–0.30 (72%)attempts 14–7goals 0–0
- Getzlaf – Shore – Kase6:18
xG 0.14–0.25 (36%)attempts 4–3goals 0–2
- Getzlaf – Rakell – Kase3:02
xG 0.13–0.25 (34%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
- Henrique – Silfverberg – Rakell8:49
xG 0.26–0.38 (41%)attempts 6–8goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- Fowler – Gudbranson14:30
xG 0.93–0.96 (49%)attempts 16–15goals 1–1
- Del Zotto – Mahura13:14
xG 0.51–0.57 (48%)attempts 13–11goals 0–0
- Manson – Lindholm16:06
xG 0.78–0.85 (48%)attempts 18–16goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).