Thu, Dec 19, 2019·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Los Angeles Kings 2, Columbus Blue Jackets 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 68% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 19 | 15 | 011 | 00 | 225 |
| CBJ | 18 | 013 | 16 | 11 | 328 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:42LAKAdrian KempeAssists: Ben Hutton, Matt Roy · Wrist, 0.42 xG1–0
- P1 2:55CBJZach WerenskiPPAssists: Gustav Nyquist, Pierre-Luc Dubois · Slap, 0.04 xG1–1
- P2 11:16LAKJeff CarterAssists: Trevor Lewis, Kyle Clifford · Wrist, 0.19 xG2–1
- P3 18:17CBJBoone JennerAssists: Zach Werenski, Oliver Bjorkstrand · Backhand, 0.14 xG2–2
- OT 1:11CBJPierre-Luc DuboisGWGAssists: Gustav Nyquist, Seth Jones · Snap, 0.24 xG2–3
Penalties (6)
- P1 1:54LAKKurtis MacDermid: Holding2 min · PPG
- P1 16:56CBJGabriel Carlsson: Hooking2 min
- P2 0:53CBJSeth Jones: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 8:05LAKSean Walker: Hooking2 min
- P2 16:45LAKSean Walker: Hooking2 min
- P3 8:46LAKJeff Carter: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Wennberg
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestKempe – Wagner – Lizotte8:22
xG 0.66–0.06 (92%)attempts 11–5goals 1–0
- Toffoli – Prokhorkin – Amadio7:50
xG 0.07–0.07 (49%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Brown – Kopitar – Iafallo6:55
xG 0.22–0.25 (47%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
- Carter – Lewis – Clifford8:09
xG 0.43–0.58 (43%)attempts 8–9goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestHutton – Roy12:32
xG 0.97–0.53 (65%)attempts 18–11goals 2–0
- Doughty – Ryan19:37
xG 0.41–0.37 (53%)attempts 14–14goals 0–0
- Roy – Walker3:00
xG 0.00–0.11 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestDubois – Texier – Robinson6:21
xG 0.63–0.24 (73%)attempts 9–3goals 0–1
- Nash – Dano – Stenlund3:33
xG 0.12–0.01 (93%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
- Nyquist – Jenner – Bjorkstrand9:16
xG 0.28–0.32 (46%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
- Foligno – Nash – Jenner2:21
xG 0.00–0.08 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKukan – Gavrikov17:24
xG 0.86–0.43 (67%)attempts 18–9goals 0–1
- Jones – Werenski18:09
xG 0.88–0.89 (50%)attempts 18–15goals 0–1
- Harrington – Carlsson7:56
xG 0.00–0.26 (0%)attempts 1–12goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 68% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).