Sat, Dec 21, 2019·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
Winnipeg Jets 6, Minnesota Wild 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG | 212 | 19 | 310 | 631 |
| MIN | 014 | 011 | 06 | 031 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 14:43WPGBlake WheelerSHGWGAssists: Adam Lowry, Anthony Bitetto · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–0
- P1 19:54WPGMark ScheifeleAssists: Luca Sbisa, Neal Pionk · Wrist, 0.27 xG2–0
- P2 10:38WPGPatrik LaineAssists: Josh Morrissey · Wrist, 0.04 xG3–0
- P3 1:09WPGNikolaj EhlersAssists: Kyle Connor, Josh Morrissey · Slap, 0.15 xG4–0
- P3 6:15WPGPatrik LainePPAssists: Blake Wheeler, Josh Morrissey · Slap, 0.11 xG5–0
- P3 7:53WPGLogan ShawAssists: Jansen Harkins, Anthony Bitetto · Wrist, 0.13 xG6–0
Penalties (11)
- P1 13:55WPGLuca Sbisa: Interference2 min
- P2 13:07WPGAnthony Bitetto: Holding2 min
- P2 0:00MINMarcus Foligno: Roughing2 min
- P3 0:15WPGMark Scheifele: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P3 4:57MINKevin Fiala: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P3 4:57WPGNeal Pionk: Roughing2 min
- P3 5:59MINMats Zuccarello: Tripping2 min
- P3 12:34MINLuke Kunin: Fighting5 min
- P3 12:34WPGNathan Beaulieu: Fighting5 min
- P3 15:59MINMathew Dumba: High sticking2 min
- P3 18:05MINZach Parise: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Staal won the faceoff against Scheifele
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestShaw – Shore – Harkins5:32
xG 0.20–0.05 (80%)attempts 6–3goals 1–0
- Scheifele – Connor – Laine12:10
xG 0.63–0.53 (54%)attempts 11–15goals 1–0
- Bourque – Lowry – Appleton9:19
xG 0.10–0.25 (28%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
- Wheeler – Ehlers – Roslovic12:05
xG 0.16–0.47 (25%)attempts 8–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSbisa – Pionk18:00
xG 0.73–0.51 (59%)attempts 13–19goals 1–0
- Bitetto – Beaulieu10:30
xG 0.21–0.16 (57%)attempts 6–8goals 1–0
- Poolman – Morrissey15:59
xG 0.20–0.64 (24%)attempts 13–11goals 1–0
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestStaal – Parise – Zuccarello11:13
xG 0.60–0.09 (87%)attempts 12–8goals 0–0
- Greenway – Kunin – Sturm8:18
xG 0.17–0.09 (65%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
- Johnson – Fiala – Donato8:57
xG 0.11–0.14 (43%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Foligno – Rask – Hartman8:11
xG 0.36–0.85 (30%)attempts 10–10goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestSuter – Spurgeon15:06
xG 0.53–0.24 (69%)attempts 15–7goals 0–1
- Hunt – Dumba15:16
xG 0.19–0.26 (41%)attempts 9–15goals 0–0
- Brodin – Soucy15:55
xG 0.65–0.77 (46%)attempts 15–13goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MIN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MIN is favoured, below it WPG. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MIN − WPG), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).