Sat, Dec 21, 2019·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
New Jersey Devils 1, Columbus Blue Jackets 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 86% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 18 | 09 | 05 | 122 |
| CBJ | 211 | 114 | 215 | 540 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:26CBJOliver BjorkstrandAssists: Boone Jenner, Seth Jones · Snap, 0.08 xG0–1
- P1 8:06CBJOliver BjorkstrandGWGAssists: Pierre-Luc Dubois, Dean Kukan · Snap, 0.09 xG0–2
- P1 15:28NJDWill ButcherAssists: Pavel Zacha, Sami Vatanen · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–2
- P2 13:13CBJVladislav GavrikovAssists: Eric Robinson, Alexandre Texier · Snap, 0.06 xG1–3
- P3 17:08CBJZach WerenskiENAssists: Seth Jones, Boone Jenner · Wrist, 0.42 xG1–4
- P3 18:48CBJGustav NyquistENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.63 xG1–5
Penalties (12)
- P1 2:59CBJJakob Lilja: Hooking2 min
- P1 5:48CBJEric Robinson: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P1 15:04CBJBoone Jenner: Hooking2 min
- P1 15:04NJDJesper Bratt: Embellishment2 min
- P2 18:50NJDJohn Hayden: High sticking2 min
- P3 1:52CBJNick Foligno: Roughing2 min
- P3 1:52NJDSami Vatanen: Roughing2 min
- P3 4:42NJDTravis Zajac: Hooking2 min
- P3 6:04NJDKyle Palmieri: Tripping2 min
- P3 6:04NJDKyle Palmieri: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 17:02CBJDean Kukan: Tripping2 min
- P3 19:09NJDMiles Wood: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hischier won the faceoff against Jenner
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against. Shift data for this game is incomplete, so treat these as rough.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestPalmieri – Bratt – Hischier5:15
xG 0.24–0.07 (77%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Simmonds – Zacha – Hughes3:06
xG 0.14–0.04 (78%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Palmieri – Wood – Hischier3:00
xG 0.04–0.28 (12%)attempts 1–4goals 0–1
- Zajac – Coleman – Gusev6:28
xG 0.01–0.39 (2%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Severson – Mueller10:09
xG 0.40–0.38 (51%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
- Vatanen – Severson2:30
xG 0.00–0.03 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
- Vatanen – Butcher5:48
xG 0.09–0.15 (37%)attempts 4–5goals 0–1
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestFoligno – Wennberg – Stenlund10:46
xG 0.78–0.06 (93%)attempts 16–2goals 0–0
- Nash – MacInnis – Lilja5:30
xG 0.76–0.28 (73%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Nyquist – Jenner – Bjorkstrand8:30
xG 0.25–0.21 (55%)attempts 7–8goals 1–0
- Dubois – Texier – Robinson8:07
xG 0.14–0.20 (41%)attempts 6–7goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestHarrington – Carlsson10:20
xG 0.82–0.18 (82%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
- Jones – Werenski13:42
xG 0.96–0.47 (67%)attempts 20–11goals 1–0
- Kukan – Gavrikov11:40
xG 0.16–0.21 (43%)attempts 7–7goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 86% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).