Sun, Dec 22, 2019·Madison Square Garden, New York
Anaheim Ducks 1, New York Rangers 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 91% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 16 | 07 | 07 | 120 |
| NYR | 318 | 112 | 111 | 541 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:14NYRFilip ChytilAssists: Brendan Lemieux, Brady Skjei · Backhand, 0.04 xG0–1
- P1 8:45NYRBrett HowdenGWGAssists: Tony DeAngelo, Artemi Panarin · Wrist, 0.22 xG0–2
- P1 9:58ANASam SteelAssists: Ondrej Kase · Wrist, 0.22 xG1–2
- P1 12:16NYRChris KreiderUnassisted · Backhand, 0.25 xG1–3
- P2 16:09NYRChris KreiderAssists: Mika Zibanejad, Ryan Lindgren · Tip-in, 0.13 xG1–4
- P3 1:16NYRMika ZibanejadSHAssists: Ryan Strome, Henrik Lundqvist · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–5
Penalties (19)
- P1 1:33ANAKorbinian Holzer: High sticking2 min
- P1 11:53ANAMaxime Comtois: Roughing2 min
- P1 11:53NYRRyan Lindgren: Roughing2 min
- P1 17:56ANAErik Gudbranson: Tripping2 min
- P2 3:33NYRGreg McKegg: Hooking2 min
- P2 9:54ANADevin Shore: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 12:58ANAMichael Del Zotto: Roughing2 min
- P2 12:58NYRBrett Howden: Roughing2 min
- P2 16:44NYRBrendan Lemieux: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 16:44ANAErik Gudbranson: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 16:44ANAErik Gudbranson: Misconduct10 min
- P2 16:57NYRTony DeAngelo: Tripping2 min
- P2 0:00NYRBrendan Lemieux: Roughing2 min
- P2 0:00NYRBrendan Lemieux: Misconduct10 min
- P3 5:38ANANicolas Deslauriers: Fighting5 min
- P3 5:38NYRMicheal Haley: Fighting5 min
- P3 5:38ANAJacob Larsson: Slashing2 min
- P3 10:46NYRRyan Lindgren: Holding2 min
- P3 15:40ANAJosh Manson: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zibanejad won the faceoff against Carrick
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestDeslauriers – Carrick – Rowney9:32
xG 0.37–0.26 (59%)attempts 9–4goals 0–1
- Kase – Steel – Jones6:17
xG 0.65–0.76 (46%)attempts 9–7goals 1–0
- Henrique – Shore – Sprong7:36
xG 0.09–0.58 (13%)attempts 4–9goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestFowler – Gudbranson4:50
xG 0.56–0.19 (75%)attempts 7–3goals 1–0
- Manson – Lindholm6:03
xG 0.33–0.51 (39%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
- Fowler – Larsson3:01
xG 0.00–0.43 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestLemieux – Howden – Chytil2:51
xG 0.68–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–1goals 1–0
- Kreider – Fast – Zibanejad6:19
xG 0.65–0.00 (100%)attempts 10–0goals 1–0
- Strome – Buchnevich – Panarin6:36
xG 0.34–0.28 (55%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestFox – Lindgren5:44
xG 0.84–0.01 (98%)attempts 8–1goals 1–0
- Skjei – Trouba6:40
xG 0.48–0.08 (85%)attempts 8–2goals 1–0
- Staal – DeAngelo5:34
xG 0.33–0.05 (87%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 91% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).