Mon, Dec 23, 2019·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
New York Rangers 1, Philadelphia Flyers 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 50% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 08 | 114 | 013 | 135 |
| PHI | 012 | 17 | 411 | 530 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 6:44NYRJesper FastSHAssists: Brady Skjei, Greg McKegg · Wrist, 0.15 xG1–0
- P2 19:58PHITravis SanheimAssists: Justin Braun, Travis Konecny · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–1
- P3 7:31PHIKevin HayesGWGAssists: Joel Farabee, James van Riemsdyk · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–2
- P3 15:49PHITravis SanheimAssists: Sean Couturier, Claude Giroux · Snap, 0.14 xG1–3
- P3 17:15PHIKevin HayesAssists: James van Riemsdyk, Justin Braun · Wrist, 0.22 xG1–4
- P3 19:02PHINicolas Aube-KubelPPAssists: Travis Sanheim, Jakub Voracek · Snap, 0.12 xG1–5
Penalties (10)
- P1 0:55NYRPavel Buchnevich: Tripping2 min
- P1 7:18PHITravis Sanheim: Hooking2 min
- P1 8:14PHIPhilippe Myers: Tripping2 min
- P1 10:57NYRGreg McKegg: Tripping2 min
- P2 1:28NYRRyan Strome: Hooking2 min
- P2 3:16PHIJakub Voracek: Tripping2 min
- P2 5:59NYRBrett Howden: Slashing2 min
- P2 13:01PHITravis Konecny: Hooking2 min
- P2 15:37NYRGreg McKegg: Slashing2 min
- P3 18:09NYRTony DeAngelo: Roughing2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Giroux won the faceoff against Zibanejad
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestStrome – Buchnevich – Panarin8:51
xG 0.85–0.27 (76%)attempts 14–4goals 0–1
- Kreider – Fast – Zibanejad8:35
xG 0.61–0.54 (53%)attempts 14–8goals 0–1
- Lemieux – Howden – Chytil6:36
xG 0.03–0.35 (8%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestFox – Lindgren5:42
xG 0.57–0.19 (75%)attempts 9–3goals 0–0
- Staal – DeAngelo7:53
xG 0.43–0.21 (67%)attempts 11–6goals 0–0
- DeAngelo – Fox5:16
xG 0.14–0.17 (46%)attempts 6–3goals 0–1
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestGiroux – Couturier – Konecny10:35
xG 0.57–0.19 (75%)attempts 11–12goals 1–0
- van Riemsdyk – Hayes – Farabee3:20
xG 0.40–0.34 (54%)attempts 5–6goals 2–0
- Voracek – Frost – Farabee4:38
xG 0.11–0.13 (46%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Pitlick – Andreoff – Vorobyev4:41
xG 0.22–0.28 (44%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBraun – Sanheim12:03
xG 1.18–0.54 (69%)attempts 20–11goals 3–0
- Gostisbehere – Myers11:22
xG 0.23–0.28 (44%)attempts 7–9goals 1–0
- Niskanen – Provorov11:16
xG 0.32–0.59 (35%)attempts 6–15goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHI is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 50% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHI − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).