Sun, Dec 29, 2019·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Chicago Blackhawks 3, Columbus Blue Jackets 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 04 | 08 | 211 | 07 | 2 | 330 |
| CBJ | 29 | 013 | 08 | 03 | 1 | 233 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:54CBJRiley NashAssists: Vladislav Gavrikov, David Savard · Wrist, 0.03 xG0–1
- P1 18:40CBJPierre-Luc DuboisAssists: Nick Foligno, Nathan Gerbe · Wrist, 0.18 xG0–2
- P3 7:33CHIDylan StromeAssists: Connor Murphy, Alex DeBrincat · Tip-in, 0.07 xG1–2
- P3 17:58CHIErik GustafssonPPAssists: Duncan Keith, Dominik Kubalik · Slap, 0.04 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. CBJ Pierre-Luc Dubois stopped
- 2. CHI Jonathan Toews scored
- 3. CBJ Gustav Nyquist scored
- 4. CHI Patrick Kane scored
- 5. CBJ Nathan Gerbe stopped
Penalties (10)
- P1 2:28CHIConnor Murphy: Hooking2 min
- P1 8:55CBJAlexander Wennberg: High sticking2 min
- P1 13:43CBJKevin Stenlund: Hooking2 min
- P2 14:16CHIDylan Strome: Hooking2 min
- P3 9:01CHISlater Koekkoek: Roughing2 min
- P3 9:01CBJNathan Gerbe: Roughing2 min
- P3 13:51CBJAlexander Wennberg: Tripping2 min
- P3 16:16CBJSeth Jones: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- OT 1:05CBJNick Foligno: High sticking2 min
- OT 4:41CHIDylan Strome: Too many men on the ice2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dubois won the faceoff against Toews
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestKane – Carpenter – Nylander3:27
xG 0.08–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Toews – Kane – Carpenter6:16
xG 0.33–0.30 (52%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Smith – Highmore – Kampf6:54
xG 0.05–0.12 (29%)attempts 4–4goals 0–1
- Strome – DeBrincat – Dach13:09
xG 0.42–0.56 (43%)attempts 16–8goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- Keith – Murphy4:20
xG 0.05–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
- Keith – Boqvist12:05
xG 0.31–0.31 (50%)attempts 12–11goals 0–0
- Koekkoek – Gilbert10:10
xG 0.17–0.47 (27%)attempts 8–10goals 0–1
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestGerbe – Foligno – Dubois8:38
xG 0.60–0.24 (71%)attempts 8–13goals 1–0
- Nyquist – Jenner – Stenlund9:06
xG 0.10–0.07 (58%)attempts 6–7goals 0–1
- Dubois – Texier – Robinson2:15
xG 0.02–0.01 (61%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Nash – MacInnis – Lilja5:04
xG 0.06–0.06 (49%)attempts 3–6goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestJones – Werenski14:44
xG 0.80–0.17 (83%)attempts 15–11goals 1–1
- Jones – Kukan2:11
xG 0.22–0.09 (72%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Savard – Gavrikov16:26
xG 0.42–0.39 (52%)attempts 12–15goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).