Tue, Dec 31, 2019·Prudential Center, Newark
Boston Bruins 2, New Jersey Devils 3 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 71% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 114 | 19 | 05 | 02 | 1 | 230 |
| NJD | 010 | 112 | 119 | 03 | 2 | 344 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:03BOSBrad MarchandPPAssists: David Pastrnak, Matt Grzelcyk · Snap, 0.65 xG1–0
- P2 4:27BOSJoakim NordstromAssists: Sean Kuraly, Brandon Carlo · Backhand, 0.12 xG2–0
- P2 8:58NJDBlake ColemanAssists: Nikita Gusev, Sami Vatanen · Snap, 0.13 xG2–1
- P3 13:11NJDJesper BrattAssists: P.K. Subban, Nico Hischier · Tip-in, 0.11 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. NJD Nikita Gusev stopped
- 2. BOS Charlie Coyle stopped
- 3. NJD Jesper Boqvist stopped
- 4. BOS David Pastrnak stopped
- 5. NJD Kyle Palmieri stopped
- 6. BOS Brad Marchand stopped
- 7. NJD Wayne Simmonds stopped
- 8. BOS Jake DeBrusk stopped
- 9. NJD Jack Hughes scored
- 10. BOS Chris Wagner scored
- 11. NJD Damon Severson scored
- 12. BOS Patrice Bergeron stopped
Penalties (7)
- P1 1:17NJDP.K. Subban: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 0:09BOSBrad Marchand: Tripping2 min
- P2 9:07NJDTravis Zajac: Tripping2 min
- P2 9:20BOSMatt Grzelcyk: Tripping2 min
- P3 2:34BOSJeremy Lauzon: Interference2 min
- P3 7:55BOSJoakim Nordstrom: Tripping2 min
- OT 4:48NJDJesper Bratt: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zajac won the faceoff against Bergeron
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – Pastrnak12:41
xG 1.20–0.83 (59%)attempts 17–14goals 0–1
- Coyle – Ritchie – Bjork7:51
xG 0.43–0.21 (67%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
- Backes – DeBrusk – Lindholm6:13
xG 0.06–0.11 (38%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Wagner – Nordstrom – Kuraly9:06
xG 0.33–0.40 (45%)attempts 11–11goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestGrzelcyk – Lauzon11:03
xG 0.72–0.50 (59%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
- Kampfer – Moore9:16
xG 0.37–0.23 (62%)attempts 10–11goals 0–0
- Chara – Carlo18:36
xG 0.47–0.80 (37%)attempts 17–21goals 1–1
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestZajac – Coleman – Gusev12:14
xG 1.04–0.65 (62%)attempts 19–12goals 1–0
- Palmieri – Bratt – Hischier10:07
xG 0.49–0.19 (72%)attempts 13–8goals 0–0
- Zajac – Coleman – Wood2:44
xG 0.00–0.08 (0%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Hayden – Zacha – Boqvist7:33
xG 0.17–0.44 (28%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGreene – Subban14:02
xG 0.80–0.26 (76%)attempts 19–10goals 1–0
- Vatanen – Severson16:40
xG 1.08–0.84 (56%)attempts 23–16goals 1–1
- Butcher – Mueller12:18
xG 0.30–0.90 (25%)attempts 10–15goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 71% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).