Thu, Jan 9, 2020·BB&T Center, Sunrise
Vancouver Canucks 2, Florida Panthers 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 71% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 113 | 08 | 111 | 232 |
| FLA | 316 | 120 | 113 | 549 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:00FLANoel AcciariAssists: Vincent Trocheck · Wrist, 0.12 xG0–1
- P1 3:01FLAMark PysykAssists: Colton Sceviour, Brian Boyle · Tip-in, 0.15 xG0–2
- P1 6:51VANBrock BoeserAssists: Tyler Myers, Elias Pettersson · Tip-in, 0.10 xG1–2
- P1 18:53FLAEvgenii DadonovGWGAssists: Aleksander Barkov, Jonathan Huberdeau · Wrist, 0.27 xG1–3
- P2 3:40FLAMike HoffmanPPAssists: Jonathan Huberdeau, Keith Yandle · Snap, 0.16 xG1–4
- P3 6:55FLANoel AcciariAssists: Aaron Ekblad, Brett Connolly · Tip-in, 0.08 xG1–5
- P3 12:14VANTyler MotteAssists: Jay Beagle, Tim Schaller · Tip-in, 0.04 xG2–5
Penalties (8)
- P1 11:30VANJ.T. Miller: Slashing2 min
- P1 12:05FLAMike Hoffman: Holding2 min
- P1 16:17FLAJonathan Huberdeau: Tripping2 min
- P2 2:43VANAntoine Roussel: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 10:31VANQuinn Hughes: Tripping2 min
- P2 13:48FLAMark Pysyk: Roughing2 min
- P2 17:05VANJ.T. Miller: Slashing2 min
- P3 16:15VANJ.T. Miller: Abuse of officials10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Miller won the faceoff against Barkov
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestBeagle – Schaller – Motte6:37
xG 1.01–0.62 (62%)attempts 7–8goals 1–1
- Roussel – Virtanen – Gaudette6:10
xG 0.17–0.09 (65%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
- Miller – Boeser – Pettersson10:49
xG 0.65–0.62 (51%)attempts 13–10goals 1–1
- Roussel – Boeser – Pettersson2:13
xG 0.03–0.09 (23%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestTanev – Hughes13:01
xG 1.36–0.78 (64%)attempts 17–12goals 0–2
- Edler – Myers15:09
xG 0.66–0.58 (53%)attempts 16–14goals 2–1
- Myers – Hughes4:32
xG 0.01–0.08 (14%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestConnolly – Trocheck – Acciari9:29
xG 0.93–0.29 (76%)attempts 18–4goals 2–0
- Dadonov – Huberdeau – Barkov9:53
xG 0.65–0.21 (76%)attempts 12–8goals 1–0
- Huberdeau – Barkov – Acciari2:29
xG 0.19–0.15 (55%)attempts 3–3goals 0–1
- Hoffman – Toninato – Vatrano7:29
xG 0.00–1.22 (0%)attempts 2–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestYandle – Brown11:26
xG 1.96–0.95 (67%)attempts 19–7goals 0–0
- Matheson – Ekblad11:36
xG 0.73–0.49 (60%)attempts 10–10goals 3–1
- Stralman – Stillman11:48
xG 0.74–0.76 (50%)attempts 16–12goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
FLA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line FLA is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 71% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (FLA − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).