Thu, Jan 9, 2020·Madison Square Garden, New York
New Jersey Devils 3, New York Rangers 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 217 | 114 | 018 | 349 |
| NYR | 314 | 214 | 19 | 637 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:42NYRArtemi PanarinAssists: Tony DeAngelo, Adam Fox · Slap, 0.10 xG0–1
- P1 8:06NJDKevin RooneySHAssists: Pavel Zacha · Wrist, 0.27 xG1–1
- P1 9:47NYRTony DeAngeloAssists: Mika Zibanejad, Chris Kreider · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–2
- P1 12:16NYRChris KreiderPPAssists: Tony DeAngelo, Mika Zibanejad · Backhand, 0.16 xG1–3
- P1 18:10NJDBlake ColemanAssists: Damon Severson, Travis Zajac · Tip-in, 0.10 xG2–3
- P2 8:56NJDDamon SeversonAssists: Nikita Gusev, Travis Zajac · Tip-in, 0.05 xG3–3
- P2 12:08NYRTony DeAngeloGWGAssists: Marc Staal, Pavel Buchnevich · Wrist, 0.01 xG3–4
- P2 15:02NYRTony DeAngeloPPAssists: Ryan Strome, Artemi Panarin · Wrist, 0.04 xG3–5
- P3 12:56NYRJesper FastAssists: Ryan Strome, Artemi Panarin · Wrist, 0.07 xG3–6
Penalties (9)
- P1 2:47NYRBrendan Smith: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 7:40NJDP.K. Subban: Interference2 min
- P1 11:32NJDJohn Hayden: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 12:58NJDJesper Boqvist: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 14:51NJDNico Hischier: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 18:12NYRJacob Trouba: Hooking2 min
- P2 18:12NJDWayne Simmonds: Cross checking2 min
- P3 8:50NYRChris Kreider: Interference2 min
- P3 15:37NJDMiles Wood: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hischier won the faceoff against Zibanejad
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestSimmonds – Wood – Zacha7:50
xG 0.79–0.23 (78%)attempts 15–6goals 0–0
- Simmonds – Palmieri – Hischier2:17
xG 0.01–0.18 (4%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Zajac – Coleman – Gusev10:13
xG 0.22–0.49 (32%)attempts 8–12goals 1–2
- Palmieri – Hischier – Boqvist10:25
xG 0.34–0.67 (34%)attempts 19–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSubban – Butcher3:19
xG 0.76–0.00 (99%)attempts 14–1goals 0–0
- Butcher – Mueller11:53
xG 0.41–0.62 (40%)attempts 15–15goals 0–0
- Greene – Subban11:04
xG 0.26–0.56 (32%)attempts 9–11goals 0–0
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestKreider – Zibanejad – Buchnevich12:03
xG 0.88–0.45 (66%)attempts 18–21goals 0–0
- Fast – Strome – Panarin8:13
xG 0.45–0.14 (77%)attempts 8–9goals 1–1
- Howden – Chytil – Kakko7:14
xG 0.55–0.56 (50%)attempts 9–10goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestStaal – DeAngelo9:28
xG 0.60–0.14 (82%)attempts 16–10goals 1–0
- Skjei – Trouba19:06
xG 0.98–0.76 (56%)attempts 17–29goals 0–1
- Fox – Lindgren2:33
xG 0.20–0.10 (66%)attempts 4–1goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).