Thu, Jan 9, 2020·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Columbus Blue Jackets 1, San Jose Sharks 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 75% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 012 | 17 | 012 | 131 |
| SJS | 015 | 29 | 19 | 333 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 1:01SJSKevin LabancSHAssists: Tomas Hertl, Evander Kane · Wrist, 0.18 xG0–1
- P2 13:28SJSJoe ThorntonPPGWGAssists: Erik Karlsson, Barclay Goodrow · Slap, 0.06 xG0–2
- P2 18:12CBJSonny MilanoUnassisted · Backhand, 0.14 xG1–2
- P3 2:09SJSBrent BurnsAssists: Kevin Labanc, Brenden Dillon · Backhand, 0.14 xG1–3
Penalties (7)
- P1 12:15SJSJoe Thornton: Slashing2 min
- P2 4:55SJSRadim Simek: Hooking2 min
- P2 13:19CBJGustav Nyquist: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 18:54CBJVladislav Gavrikov: Hooking2 min
- P3 4:56CBJNick Foligno: Fighting5 min
- P3 4:56SJSBrenden Dillon: Fighting5 min
- P3 7:21CBJBoone Jenner: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hertl won the faceoff against Dubois
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against. Shift data for this game is incomplete, so treat these as rough.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestNyquist – Wennberg – Milano3:05
xG 0.23–0.04 (86%)attempts 3–1goals 1–0
- Gerbe – Foligno – Dubois2:05
xG 0.17–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–0goals 0–0
- Wennberg – Stenlund – Bemstrom7:27
xG 0.52–0.48 (52%)attempts 13–7goals 0–0
- Foligno – Dubois – Bemstrom2:13
xG 0.22–0.22 (50%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Harrington – Nutivaara9:41
xG 0.32–0.48 (40%)attempts 12–8goals 0–0
- Savard – Gavrikov15:21
xG 0.42–0.66 (39%)attempts 12–15goals 1–0
- Jones – Werenski18:37
xG 0.72–1.28 (36%)attempts 21–20goals 0–1
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestNoesen – Karlsson – Kellman6:37
xG 0.72–0.10 (87%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Kane – Hertl – Labanc14:43
xG 0.89–0.32 (74%)attempts 16–14goals 1–0
- Marleau – Meier – Suomela9:56
xG 0.44–0.68 (39%)attempts 6–14goals 0–0
- Thornton – Sorensen – Goodrow10:01
xG 0.17–0.43 (28%)attempts 8–12goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestVlasic – Karlsson14:00
xG 1.08–0.33 (76%)attempts 16–14goals 1–0
- Ferraro – Simek10:52
xG 0.48–0.25 (66%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
- Burns – Dillon14:46
xG 0.68–0.72 (49%)attempts 12–12goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 75% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).