Mon, Jan 13, 2020·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
Boston Bruins 5, Philadelphia Flyers 6 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 61% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 214 | 36 | 08 | 03 | 0 | 531 |
| PHI | 112 | 315 | 18 | 04 | 1 | 639 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:15BOSAnders BjorkAssists: Jake DeBrusk · Backhand, 0.16 xG1–0
- P1 16:49BOSDavid KrejciPPAssists: Danton Heinen, Charlie Coyle · Wrist, 0.25 xG2–0
- P1 18:22PHIKevin HayesPPAssists: Travis Konecny, James van Riemsdyk · Slap, 0.12 xG2–1
- P2 0:33BOSDavid PastrnakSHAssists: Brad Marchand, Patrice Bergeron · Backhand, 0.17 xG3–1
- P2 1:12PHITravis SanheimPPAssists: Sean Couturier, Jakub Voracek · Wrist, 0.03 xG3–2
- P2 4:50BOSCharlie CoyleSHAssists: Danton Heinen, Brandon Carlo · Wrist, 0.17 xG4–2
- P2 7:21BOSDavid KrejciSHAssists: Anders Bjork, Jake DeBrusk · Snap, 0.14 xG5–2
- P2 13:12PHISean CouturierPPAssists: Jakub Voracek · Wrist, 0.17 xG5–3
- P2 14:46PHIConnor BunnamanPPAssists: Mark Friedman, Robert Hagg · Deflected, 0.17 xG5–4
- P3 12:58PHITravis SanheimPPAssists: Philippe Myers, Sean Couturier · Wrist, 0.29 xG5–5
Shootout
- 1. PHI Kevin Hayes stopped
- 2. BOS David Pastrnak stopped
- 3. PHI Claude Giroux stopped
- 4. BOS Charlie Coyle stopped
- 5. PHI Sean Couturier stopped
- 6. BOS Jake DeBrusk stopped
- 7. PHI Joel Farabee stopped
- 8. BOS David Krejci stopped
- 9. PHI Travis Konecny scored
- 10. BOS Brad Marchand stopped
Penalties (8)
- P1 11:55PHIMark Friedman: Roughing2 min
- P1 11:55BOSAnders Bjork: Roughing2 min
- P1 15:30PHIMichael Raffl: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 18:00BOSPatrice Bergeron: High sticking double minor4 min · PPG
- P2 9:02BOSChris Wagner: Roughing2 min
- P3 0:28PHIMatt Niskanen: Interference2 min
- P3 12:30PHIJoel Farabee: Roughing2 min
- P3 12:30BOSTorey Krug: Roughing2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Couturier
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against. Shift data for this game is incomplete, so treat these as rough.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – Pastrnak10:29
xG 0.64–0.30 (68%)attempts 8–8goals 1–0
- Krejci – Bjork – DeBrusk12:44
xG 1.04–0.74 (58%)attempts 14–13goals 2–1
- Coyle – Ritchie – Heinen9:52
xG 0.14–0.09 (61%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
- Wagner – Nordstrom – Kuraly9:16
xG 0.12–0.26 (32%)attempts 8–9goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestChara – McAvoy15:39
xG 1.18–0.67 (64%)attempts 15–18goals 2–0
- Moore – Grzelcyk12:12
xG 0.34–0.35 (50%)attempts 9–9goals 1–1
- Krug – Carlo13:39
xG 0.39–0.70 (36%)attempts 8–14goals 1–2
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestAube-Kubel – Bunnaman – Farabee2:05
xG 0.17–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–1goals 1–0
- Voracek – Couturier – Raffl11:40
xG 0.58–0.46 (55%)attempts 15–7goals 2–0
- Pitlick – Bunnaman – Farabee3:33
xG 0.02–0.01 (81%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- van Riemsdyk – Pitlick – Laughton4:43
xG 0.02–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Hagg – Friedman12:39
xG 0.32–0.41 (44%)attempts 8–12goals 1–1
- Sanheim – Myers14:51
xG 0.63–0.76 (45%)attempts 19–11goals 1–1
- Niskanen – Provorov14:33
xG 0.52–0.96 (35%)attempts 15–13goals 1–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHI is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 61% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHI − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).