Sat, Jan 18, 2020·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
San Jose Sharks 1, Vancouver Canucks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 87% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 03 | 04 | 111 | 118 |
| VAN | 09 | 118 | 312 | 439 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 14:05VANLoui ErikssonAssists: Tanner Pearson, Bo Horvat · Backhand, 0.08 xG0–1
- P3 5:01VANTanner PearsonGWGAssists: Jake Virtanen, Adam Gaudette · Deflected, 0.15 xG0–2
- P3 7:09SJSBarclay GoodrowAssists: Erik Karlsson, Antti Suomela · Snap, 0.28 xG1–2
- P3 7:46VANQuinn HughesAssists: Antoine Roussel, Adam Gaudette · Slap, 0.01 xG1–3
- P3 15:27VANJ.T. MillerAssists: Jake Virtanen, Elias Pettersson · Wrist, 0.14 xG1–4
Penalties (17)
- P1 10:30SJSKevin Labanc: Cross checking2 min
- P1 10:30SJSKevin Labanc: Roughing2 min
- P1 10:30VANBrandon Sutter: Roughing2 min
- P2 1:02SJSBrenden Dillon: High sticking2 min
- P2 6:55VANTanner Pearson: Slashing2 min
- P2 14:05SJSStefan Noesen: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
- P3 4:37SJSTimo Meier: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P3 17:18SJSJoe Thornton: Interference2 min
- P3 17:18SJSJoe Thornton: Roughing2 min
- P3 17:18SJSBrenden Dillon: Misconduct10 min
- P3 17:18SJSBarclay Goodrow: Misconduct10 min
- P3 17:18VANChris Tanev: Roughing2 min
- P3 17:18VANChris Tanev: Misconduct10 min
- P3 17:18VANAlexander Edler: Roughing2 min
- P3 17:18VANAlexander Edler: Misconduct10 min
- P3 17:18VANBrandon Sutter: Misconduct10 min
- P3 18:33SJSJoachim Blichfeld: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hertl won the faceoff against Horvat
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against. Shift data for this game is incomplete, so treat these as rough.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestNoesen – Karlsson – Kellman5:07
xG 0.10–0.02 (84%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Marleau – Goodrow – Suomela7:28
xG 0.74–0.76 (49%)attempts 10–5goals 1–1
- Kane – Hertl – Blichfeld14:04
xG 0.43–0.54 (44%)attempts 12–15goals 0–1
- Thornton – Labanc – Meier11:15
xG 0.33–0.44 (42%)attempts 12–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBurns – Dillon15:52
xG 0.35–0.08 (81%)attempts 12–6goals 0–1
- Ferraro – Simek10:50
xG 0.21–0.42 (33%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Karlsson15:03
xG 0.37–1.21 (24%)attempts 11–18goals 0–1
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestRoussel – Boeser – Gaudette7:28
xG 0.53–0.15 (77%)attempts 9–8goals 1–0
- Eriksson – Pearson – Horvat12:14
xG 0.59–0.43 (58%)attempts 12–13goals 1–0
- Sutter – Beagle – Motte9:28
xG 0.22–0.14 (62%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
- Miller – Virtanen – Pettersson8:59
xG 0.48–0.91 (35%)attempts 8–11goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestMyers – Hughes3:15
xG 0.68–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–0goals 0–0
- Edler – Stecher13:14
xG 0.67–0.30 (69%)attempts 15–12goals 0–0
- Myers – Fantenberg11:44
xG 0.40–0.35 (53%)attempts 6–11goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 87% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).