Wed, Jan 22, 2020·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Winnipeg Jets 3, Columbus Blue Jackets 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 69% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG | 210 | 17 | 013 | 330 |
| CBJ | 18 | 211 | 110 | 429 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:38WPGMason AppletonAssists: Mathieu Perreault, Luca Sbisa · Snap, 0.22 xG1–0
- P1 6:06CBJSeth JonesAssists: Nick Foligno, Pierre-Luc Dubois · Wrist, 0.10 xG1–1
- P1 17:06WPGKyle ConnorAssists: Anthony Bitetto, Luca Sbisa · Tip-in, 0.12 xG2–1
- P2 1:28CBJOliver BjorkstrandAssists: Pierre-Luc Dubois · Snap, 0.14 xG2–2
- P2 15:33WPGNeal PionkPPAssists: Blake Wheeler, Kyle Connor · Wrist, 0.02 xG3–2
- P2 17:55CBJGustav NyquistPPAssists: Pierre-Luc Dubois, Zach Werenski · Snap, 0.40 xG3–3
- P3 14:22CBJOliver BjorkstrandGWGAssists: Seth Jones · Snap, 0.15 xG3–4
Penalties (3)
- P1 12:14CBJVladislav Gavrikov: Tripping2 min
- P2 15:25CBJZach Werenski: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 17:05WPGNicholas Shore: Interference2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dubois won the faceoff against Wheeler
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestPerreault – Copp – Appleton3:26
xG 0.33–0.21 (62%)attempts 7–4goals 1–1
- Perreault – Ehlers – Roslovic5:27
xG 0.25–0.14 (63%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Wheeler – Copp – Appleton7:45
xG 0.24–0.20 (55%)attempts 6–4goals 0–1
- Wheeler – Copp – Ehlers2:11
xG 0.10–0.13 (44%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Morrissey – Pionk18:21
xG 0.61–0.56 (52%)attempts 20–10goals 0–1
- Sbisa – Bitetto13:36
xG 0.52–0.65 (45%)attempts 10–12goals 2–0
- Kulikov – Niku19:53
xG 0.40–1.15 (26%)attempts 17–30goals 0–1
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestNyquist – Atkinson – Wennberg12:00
xG 1.05–0.35 (75%)attempts 17–11goals 0–0
- Foligno – Bjorkstrand – Dubois14:59
xG 0.82–0.28 (75%)attempts 18–12goals 3–0
- Nash – Robinson – Lilja9:10
xG 0.15–0.07 (69%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
- Gerbe – Jenner – Bemstrom10:25
xG 0.30–0.61 (33%)attempts 8–10goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestJones – Werenski21:16
xG 0.93–0.42 (69%)attempts 23–14goals 2–0
- Savard – Gavrikov18:53
xG 0.68–0.53 (56%)attempts 18–23goals 1–1
- Harrington – Nutivaara11:34
xG 0.42–0.44 (49%)attempts 11–9goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it WPG. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 69% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − WPG), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).