Fri, Jan 31, 2020·Bell MTS Place, Winnipeg
Boston Bruins 2, Winnipeg Jets 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 71% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 115 | 04 | 16 | 225 |
| WPG | 112 | 011 | 015 | 138 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:06WPGPatrik LaineAssists: Nikolaj Ehlers, Neal Pionk · Wrist, 0.04 xG0–1
- P1 19:07BOSPatrice BergeronPPAssists: Brad Marchand, David Pastrnak · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–1
- P3 3:07BOSJake DeBruskPPGWGAssists: David Pastrnak, Torey Krug · Wrist, 0.18 xG2–1
Penalties (20)
- P1 17:12BOSCharlie McAvoy: Roughing2 min
- P1 17:12WPGNeal Pionk: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P1 17:12WPGNeal Pionk: Roughing2 min
- P1 18:32WPGJosh Morrissey: Slashing2 min
- P2 2:11BOSMatt Grzelcyk: Hooking2 min
- P2 3:28BOSBrad Marchand: Roughing2 min
- P2 3:28BOSBrad Marchand: Fighting5 min
- P2 3:28WPGNikolaj Ehlers: Fighting5 min
- P2 4:17BOSBrandon Carlo: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 7:07BOSCharlie Coyle: Tripping2 min
- P2 10:10BOSBrandon Carlo: Instigator2 min
- P2 10:10BOSBrandon Carlo: Fighting5 min
- P2 10:10BOSBrandon Carlo: Misconduct10 min
- P2 10:10WPGGabriel Bourque: Fighting5 min
- P2 15:36BOSKarson Kuhlman: Fighting5 min
- P2 15:36WPGLuca Sbisa: Instigator2 min
- P2 15:36WPGLuca Sbisa: Fighting5 min
- P2 15:36WPGLuca Sbisa: Misconduct10 min
- P2 0:00BOSTorey Krug: Holding2 min
- P3 2:35WPGSami Niku: Slashing2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Scheifele won the faceoff against Bergeron
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestKrejci – Heinen – Kuhlman9:17
xG 0.22–0.13 (62%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Pastrnak7:58
xG 0.21–0.20 (50%)attempts 5–9goals 0–1
- Coyle – Bjork – DeBrusk8:23
xG 0.08–0.22 (27%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
- Wagner – Nordstrom – Kuraly5:42
xG 0.10–0.30 (25%)attempts 4–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKrug – Carlo10:50
xG 0.37–0.13 (74%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
- Grzelcyk – Lauzon8:35
xG 0.13–0.14 (48%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
- Krug – McAvoy3:24
xG 0.13–0.15 (46%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- Bourque – Shore – Harkins3:23
xG 0.07–0.02 (74%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Wheeler – Ehlers – Roslovic2:17
xG 0.04–0.04 (50%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Wheeler – Ehlers – Appleton5:36
xG 0.13–0.14 (48%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Scheifele – Connor – Laine9:50
xG 0.26–0.32 (44%)attempts 12–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKulikov – Bitetto2:06
xG 0.11–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Sbisa – Bitetto7:49
xG 0.17–0.14 (54%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Kulikov – Niku12:20
xG 0.27–0.27 (50%)attempts 11–12goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
WPG's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line WPG is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 71% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (WPG − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).