Tue, Feb 4, 2020·TD Garden, Boston
Vancouver Canucks 0, Boston Bruins 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 89% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 06 | 09 | 010 | 025 |
| BOS | 113 | 117 | 212 | 442 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 14:24BOSCharlie CoyleGWGAssists: Charlie McAvoy, Anders Bjork · Snap, 0.40 xG0–1
- P2 15:35BOSBrad MarchandAssists: Patrice Bergeron, Charlie McAvoy · Wrist, 0.12 xG0–2
- P3 14:09BOSDavid KrejciAssists: Sean Kuraly, Brandon Carlo · Wrist, 0.09 xG0–3
- P3 18:10BOSKarson KuhlmanPPAssists: Charlie Coyle, Matt Grzelcyk · Tip-in, 0.16 xG0–4
Penalties (10)
- P1 14:24VANJake Virtanen: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
- P2 5:45VANTroy Stecher: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 6:46VANAlexander Edler: Tripping2 min
- P2 9:48BOSAnders Bjork: Hooking2 min
- P2 15:57BOSChris Wagner: Hooking2 min
- P3 12:38BOSTorey Krug: Slashing2 min
- P3 13:38VANQuinn Hughes: Slashing2 min
- P3 15:11VANJay Beagle: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P3 15:11VANJay Beagle: Misconduct10 min
- P3 16:22VANTyler Myers: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Coyle won the faceoff against Horvat
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestEriksson – Pearson – Horvat7:28
xG 0.21–0.06 (77%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Roussel – Virtanen – Gaudette4:13
xG 0.10–0.01 (87%)attempts 7–1goals 0–0
- Sutter – Roussel – Gaudette3:24
xG 0.08–0.06 (55%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Miller – Virtanen – Pettersson2:55
xG 0.02–0.08 (22%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMyers – Hughes2:50
xG 0.17–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Tanev – Hughes11:32
xG 0.07–0.20 (27%)attempts 4–8goals 0–0
- Myers – Fantenberg11:16
xG 0.34–0.50 (40%)attempts 11–13goals 0–1
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestCoyle – Kuraly – Bjork9:01
xG 0.59–0.15 (80%)attempts 12–5goals 1–0
- Krejci – DeBrusk – Kuhlman10:15
xG 0.51–0.21 (71%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Pastrnak9:08
xG 0.33–0.21 (61%)attempts 10–7goals 1–0
- Wagner – Blidh – Lindholm7:28
xG 0.11–0.11 (51%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestChara – McAvoy13:12
xG 0.92–0.30 (75%)attempts 12–8goals 1–0
- Grzelcyk – Lauzon9:40
xG 0.47–0.32 (60%)attempts 14–11goals 0–0
- Grzelcyk – Carlo2:48
xG 0.14–0.03 (80%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 89% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).