Wed, Feb 5, 2020·United Center, Chicago
Boston Bruins 2, Chicago Blackhawks 1 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 016 | 111 | 011 | 12 | 240 |
| CHI | 05 | 18 | 09 | 00 | 122 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 6:50CHIAlex DeBrincatPPAssists: Kirby Dach, Patrick Kane · Wrist, 0.35 xG0–1
- P2 12:49BOSSean KuralyAssists: Matt Grzelcyk, Anders Bjork · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–1
- OT 1:19BOSCharlie McAvoyGWGAssists: Jake DeBrusk, David Krejci · Wrist, 0.15 xG2–1
Penalties (10)
- P1 15:56CHISlater Koekkoek: Holding2 min
- P2 6:13BOSDavid Krejci: Boarding2 min · PPG
- P2 16:43BOSJeremy Lauzon: High sticking2 min
- P3 5:53CHIBrandon Saad: Slashing2 min
- P3 11:41CHIAlex Nylander: Tripping2 min
- P3 11:41BOSDavid Pastrnak: Embellishment2 min
- P3 14:41BOSChris Wagner: Slashing2 min
- P3 17:34CHIZack Smith: Illegal check to head2 min
- P3 17:48CHIRyan Carpenter: Misconduct10 min
- P3 18:55BOSTorey Krug: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Carpenter won the faceoff against Bergeron
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestCoyle – Kuraly – Bjork8:56
xG 1.11–0.36 (75%)attempts 16–6goals 1–0
- Krejci – DeBrusk – Kuhlman11:08
xG 0.73–0.31 (70%)attempts 14–6goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Pastrnak9:10
xG 0.64–0.70 (48%)attempts 12–11goals 0–0
- Wagner – Blidh – Lindholm7:33
xG 0.20–0.28 (42%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGrzelcyk – McAvoy4:42
xG 0.38–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Krug – McAvoy2:42
xG 0.38–0.02 (94%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Grzelcyk – Lauzon8:40
xG 0.41–0.08 (83%)attempts 8–7goals 1–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- Toews – Kubalik – Caggiula7:21
xG 0.63–0.63 (50%)attempts 7–9goals 0–1
- Strome – DeBrincat – Kampf6:50
xG 0.07–0.11 (40%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Kubalik – Caggiula – Kampf2:07
xG 0.09–0.32 (22%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Smith – Carpenter – Nylander8:32
xG 0.02–0.34 (7%)attempts 2–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Gustafsson3:27
xG 0.63–0.33 (66%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Murphy – Maatta2:55
xG 0.22–0.09 (70%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Murphy – Gustafsson8:52
xG 0.31–0.37 (45%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).