Sat, Feb 8, 2020·Prudential Center, Newark
Los Angeles Kings 0, New Jersey Devils 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 61% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 013 | 010 | 014 | 037 |
| NJD | 08 | 314 | 012 | 334 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 5:38NJDNikita GusevGWGAssists: Damon Severson · Slap, 0.07 xG0–1
- P2 7:35NJDBlake ColemanPPAssists: Wayne Simmonds, Kyle Palmieri · Snap, 0.19 xG0–2
- P2 10:43NJDKyle PalmieriAssists: Jack Hughes, Andy Greene · Tip-in, 0.11 xG0–3
Penalties (8)
- P1 2:21LAKCarl Grundstrom: Hooking2 min
- P1 18:06NJDDamon Severson: Cross checking2 min
- P2 2:40LAKBlake Lizotte: Hooking2 min
- P2 6:12LAKCarl Grundstrom: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 12:12NJDP.K. Subban: Interference2 min
- P2 12:37NJDDamon Severson: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway0 min
- P3 6:05NJDWayne Simmonds: Holding2 min
- P3 8:52LAKTrevor Lewis: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Zajac
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestLewis – Amadio – Grundstrom8:13
xG 0.73–0.15 (83%)attempts 13–2goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Toffoli – Iafallo4:08
xG 0.26–0.02 (93%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- Wagner – Moore – Lizotte10:57
xG 0.51–0.44 (54%)attempts 14–10goals 0–0
- Carter – Toffoli – Kempe5:18
xG 0.01–0.21 (6%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHutton – Roy13:37
xG 1.17–0.72 (62%)attempts 25–12goals 0–1
- Doughty – Ryan16:13
xG 0.60–0.31 (66%)attempts 18–11goals 0–0
- Martinez – Walker14:35
xG 0.42–1.27 (25%)attempts 12–18goals 0–1
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestZajac – Coleman – Gusev10:54
xG 0.71–0.55 (56%)attempts 14–11goals 1–0
- Simmonds – Wood – Zacha8:46
xG 0.57–0.47 (55%)attempts 11–8goals 0–0
- Hayden – Rooney – Anderson7:28
xG 0.23–0.17 (58%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
- Palmieri – Bratt – Hughes8:40
xG 0.63–0.78 (44%)attempts 9–14goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestSeverson – Mueller11:05
xG 0.76–0.44 (63%)attempts 12–7goals 0–0
- Carrick – Butcher11:50
xG 0.68–0.37 (65%)attempts 10–18goals 0–0
- Subban – Mueller2:32
xG 0.16–0.05 (76%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 61% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).