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Ice Lab

Sun, Feb 9, 2020·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Anaheim Ducks 3, Buffalo Sabres 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 61% of the time.

BUF winsANA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:32Shot by Montour, saved by Miller
  3. P1 0:47Shot by Grant, saved by Johansson
  4. P1 1:30Shot by Fowler, saved by Johansson
  5. P1 4:06Shot by Lazar, saved by Miller
  6. P1 6:15Goal by Silfverberg (Steel, Del Zotto)+19 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Miller, McCabe, Sheary, Rodrigues · ANA Del Zotto, Silfverberg, Fowler, Steel, Jones

  7. P1 7:24Shot by Shore, saved by Johansson
  8. P1 8:48Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Miller
  9. P1 9:29Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Miller
  10. P1 10:45Goal by Getzlaf (Rakell, Shore)+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Vesey, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel, Dahlin · ANA Getzlaf, Del Zotto, Fowler, Rakell, Shore

  11. P1 10:59Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Miller
  12. P1 12:00Goal by Ritchie (Terry, Henrique)+9 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Miller, McCabe, Sheary, Rodrigues · ANA Del Zotto, Grant, Lindholm, Ritchie, Terry

  13. P1 13:47Shot by McCabe, saved by Miller
  14. P1 14:10Shot by Ritchie, saved by Johansson
  15. P1 17:30Shot by Henrique, saved by Johansson
  16. P1 17:50Shot by Terry, saved by Johansson
  17. P1 17:52Pilut: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway (0 min)

    On ice: BUF Vesey, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel, Pilut · ANA Silfverberg, Manson, Lindholm, Terry, Steel

  18. P1 17:52Shot by Terry, saved by Johansson
  19. P1 18:26Shot by Manson, saved by Johansson
  20. P1 18:53Goal by Larsson (Wilson)+9 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Larsson, Wilson, Girgensons, Montour, Dahlin · ANA Getzlaf, Del Zotto, Fowler, Rakell, Shore

  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:50Shot by Montour, saved by Miller
  24. P2 1:27Shot by Girgensons, saved by Miller
  25. P2 2:18Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Miller
  26. P2 2:19Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Miller
  27. P2 4:02Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Johansson
  28. P2 4:42Shot by Rakell, saved by Johansson
  29. P2 6:30Shot by Terry, saved by Johansson
  30. P2 7:22Shot by Terry, saved by Johansson
  31. P2 7:59Shot by Reinhart, saved by Miller
  32. P2 8:02Shot by Vesey, saved by Miller
  33. P2 8:12Shot by Montour, saved by Miller
  34. P2 8:22Shot by Dahlin, saved by Miller
  35. P2 8:33Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Johansson
  36. P2 9:59Shot by Ritchie, saved by Johansson
  37. P2 10:15Shot by Fowler, saved by Johansson
  38. P2 10:32Fowler: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Frolik, Wilson, McCabe, Lazar, Montour · ANA Del Zotto, Henrique, Fowler, Ritchie, Terry

  39. P2 10:57Shot by Eichel, saved by Miller5v4
  40. P2 11:12Shot by Silfverberg, saved by Johansson5v4
  41. P2 11:41Goal by Dahlin (Eichel, Vesey)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Vesey, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel, Dahlin · ANA Holzer, Silfverberg, Guhle, Jones

  42. P2 14:01Wilson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Vesey, Reinhart, Eichel, Jokiharju, Pilut · ANA Getzlaf, Holzer, Silfverberg, Fowler, Steel, Jones

  43. P2 15:19Shot by Grant, saved by Johansson5v3
  44. P2 16:21Shot by Lindholm, saved by Johansson5v4
  45. P2 16:26Shot by Lindholm, saved by Johansson5v4
  46. P2 17:54Shot by Wilson, saved by Miller5v4
  47. P2 18:32Shot by Silfverberg, saved by Johansson5v4
  48. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:31Shot by Eichel, saved by Miller5v4
  51. P3 0:32Shot by Reinhart, saved by Miller5v4
  52. P3 1:19Shot by Rakell, saved by Johansson5v4
  53. P3 2:02Shot by Miller, saved by Miller5v4
  54. P3 3:55Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Johansson5v4
  55. P3 4:37Shot by Terry, saved by Johansson5v4
  56. P3 5:32Shot by Miller, saved by Miller4v4
  57. P3 5:46Shot by Dahlin, saved by Miller5v4
  58. P3 5:48Shot by Lazar, saved by Miller4v4
  59. P3 6:24Shot by Eichel, saved by Miller5v4
  60. P3 6:38Shot by Miller, saved by Miller5v4
  61. P3 6:54Shot by Miller, saved by Miller5v4
  62. P3 7:02Shot by Miller, saved by Miller5v4
  63. P3 9:25Shot by Skinner, saved by Miller
  64. P3 10:10Shot by Manson, saved by Johansson
  65. P3 13:01Silfverberg: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Miller, Vesey, Reinhart, Eichel, Dahlin · ANA Silfverberg, Manson, Lindholm, Steel, Jones

  66. P3 13:57Shot by Sheary, saved by Miller5v4
  67. P3 14:14Shot by Lindholm, saved by Johansson5v4
  68. P3 16:38Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Miller4v4
  69. P3 18:24Shot by Skinner, saved by Miller4v4
  70. P3 19:43Shot by Eichel, saved by Miller4v4
  71. P3 0:00Period end5v4
  72. P3 0:00Final5v4