Sun, Feb 9, 2020·Madison Square Garden, New York
Los Angeles Kings 1, New York Rangers 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 52% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 010 | 015 | 118 | 143 |
| NYR | 115 | 013 | 313 | 441 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:23NYRGreg McKeggAssists: Brett Howden, Ryan Lindgren · Wrist, 0.05 xG0–1
- P3 9:20NYRKaapo KakkoGWGAssists: Filip Chytil, Phillip Di Giuseppe · Snap, 0.18 xG0–2
- P3 10:47LAKTrevor MooreAssists: Austin Wagner, Blake Lizotte · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–2
- P3 17:12NYRArtemi PanarinAssists: Ryan Strome, Jesper Fast · Wrist, 0.15 xG1–3
- P3 17:49NYRTony DeAngeloENAssists: Filip Chytil · Wrist, 0.49 xG1–4
Penalties (3)
- P2 1:44NYRTony DeAngelo: Tripping2 min
- P2 15:34LAKBlake Lizotte: High sticking2 min
- P3 1:24NYRJesper Fast: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zibanejad won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestKopitar – Toffoli – Iafallo12:35
xG 1.03–0.28 (79%)attempts 18–8goals 0–0
- Wagner – Moore – Lizotte5:29
xG 0.49–0.00 (100%)attempts 13–2goals 1–0
- Carter – Brown – Kempe11:23
xG 0.55–0.69 (44%)attempts 17–13goals 0–1
- Prokhorkin – Amadio – Grundstrom7:10
xG 0.23–0.77 (23%)attempts 8–10goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestMartinez – Roy4:15
xG 0.97–0.00 (100%)attempts 13–1goals 1–0
- Doughty – Ryan19:44
xG 0.54–0.81 (40%)attempts 18–18goals 0–1
- Martinez – Walker13:29
xG 0.67–0.95 (41%)attempts 22–16goals 0–0
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestDi Giuseppe – Chytil – Kakko6:24
xG 0.78–0.15 (84%)attempts 9–6goals 1–0
- Fast – Strome – Panarin13:46
xG 1.13–0.73 (61%)attempts 21–20goals 1–0
- McKegg – Lemieux – Howden7:36
xG 0.12–0.42 (22%)attempts 6–16goals 1–1
- Kreider – Zibanejad – Buchnevich10:36
xG 0.04–0.95 (4%)attempts 2–15goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestStaal – DeAngelo13:51
xG 0.82–0.48 (63%)attempts 17–18goals 1–0
- Skjei – Trouba18:32
xG 0.66–0.69 (49%)attempts 20–23goals 0–1
- Fox – Lindgren15:42
xG 0.66–0.85 (44%)attempts 11–24goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 52% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).