Wed, Feb 12, 2020·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Chicago Blackhawks 0, Vancouver Canucks 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 81% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 017 | 016 | 016 | 049 |
| VAN | 17 | 18 | 15 | 320 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 15:33VANBo HorvatPPGWGAssists: Brandon Sutter, J.T. Miller · Snap, 0.16 xG0–1
- P2 6:25VANAdam GaudetteAssists: Antoine Roussel, Brandon Sutter · Wrist, 0.15 xG0–2
- P3 17:51VANBrandon SutterENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.47 xG0–3
Penalties (12)
- P1 2:21VANTyler Myers: Hooking2 min
- P1 13:58CHIDylan Strome: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min · PPG
- P2 1:27VANZack MacEwen: Holding2 min
- P2 7:31VANBrandon Sutter: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 10:44VANTanner Pearson: Fighting5 min
- P2 10:44CHIDrake Caggiula: Fighting5 min
- P2 13:32CHIKirby Dach: Tripping2 min
- P3 1:28VANAdam Gaudette: Fighting5 min
- P3 1:28CHIConnor Murphy: Fighting5 min
- P3 1:28VANAdam Gaudette: Slashing2 min
- P3 5:39CHIJonathan Toews: Hooking2 min
- P3 12:07VANTyler Myers: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Horvat won the faceoff against Toews
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestKane – Saad – Carpenter6:46
xG 0.66–0.15 (82%)attempts 9–3goals 0–0
- Toews – Kubalik – Caggiula5:48
xG 0.68–0.25 (73%)attempts 15–4goals 0–1
- Smith – Nylander – Kampf3:35
xG 0.33–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Toews – Kane – Kubalik3:15
xG 0.06–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Boqvist14:34
xG 1.26–0.35 (78%)attempts 22–7goals 0–0
- Murphy – Gustafsson13:23
xG 0.94–0.65 (59%)attempts 18–11goals 0–0
- Maatta – Koekkoek10:54
xG 0.57–0.28 (67%)attempts 10–4goals 0–1
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestEriksson – Beagle – Bailey2:09
xG 0.13–0.07 (64%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Sutter – Roussel – Gaudette5:20
xG 0.24–0.30 (44%)attempts 3–5goals 1–0
- Miller – Virtanen – Pettersson8:05
xG 0.36–0.53 (40%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
- Pearson – Horvat – MacEwen3:48
xG 0.01–0.19 (4%)attempts 1–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Edler – Myers2:28
xG 0.01–0.04 (18%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Myers – Benn10:21
xG 0.73–0.82 (47%)attempts 11–13goals 1–0
- Edler – Stecher13:05
xG 0.24–0.92 (21%)attempts 6–25goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 81% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).