Sun, Feb 16, 2020·Prudential Center, Newark
Columbus Blue Jackets 3, New Jersey Devils 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 82% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 212 | 020 | 121 | 02 | 1 | 355 |
| NJD | 06 | 315 | 02 | 03 | 2 | 426 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:28CBJAndrew PeekeAssists: Sonny Milano, Pierre-Luc Dubois · Wrist, 0.14 xG1–0
- P1 6:19CBJZach WerenskiAssists: Eric Robinson, Markus Nutivaara · Snap, 0.11 xG2–0
- P2 1:20NJDJoey AndersonAssists: Kevin Rooney, Kyle Palmieri · Snap, 0.03 xG2–1
- P2 3:51NJDNick MerkleyAssists: Kevin Rooney, Joey Anderson · Wrist, 0.20 xG2–2
- P2 11:55NJDKyle PalmieriAssists: Nico Hischier, Jesper Bratt · Snap, 0.15 xG2–3
- P3 8:45CBJKevin StenlundAssists: Oliver Bjorkstrand, Gustav Nyquist · Snap, 0.12 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. NJD Kyle Palmieri stopped
- 2. CBJ Gustav Nyquist stopped
- 3. NJD Damon Severson stopped
- 4. CBJ Pierre-Luc Dubois scored
- 5. NJD Nikita Gusev scored
- 6. CBJ Kevin Stenlund stopped
- 7. NJD Jack Hughes stopped
- 8. CBJ Oliver Bjorkstrand stopped
- 9. NJD Pavel Zacha stopped
- 10. CBJ Nathan Gerbe stopped
- 11. NJD Nico Hischier stopped
- 12. CBJ Zach Werenski stopped
- 13. NJD Jesper Bratt scored
- 14. CBJ Sonny Milano stopped
Penalties (2)
- P1 13:13NJDDamon Severson: Holding2 min
- P2 5:34NJDPavel Zacha: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Jenner won the faceoff against Zajac
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestMilano – Dubois – Bemstrom11:50
xG 1.18–0.21 (85%)attempts 17–8goals 1–1
- Nyquist – Bjorkstrand – Stenlund13:45
xG 1.04–0.41 (72%)attempts 15–10goals 1–1
- Gerbe – Foligno – Jenner14:54
xG 0.88–0.73 (55%)attempts 21–8goals 0–1
- Nash – Robinson – Lilja9:15
xG 0.43–0.61 (41%)attempts 7–9goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestSavard – Gavrikov20:25
xG 1.41–0.53 (72%)attempts 27–13goals 0–1
- Harrington – Peeke13:46
xG 1.27–0.83 (61%)attempts 17–10goals 2–1
- Werenski – Nutivaara19:36
xG 0.97–0.56 (64%)attempts 20–12goals 1–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestMerkley – Rooney – Anderson11:15
xG 0.69–0.24 (74%)attempts 9–9goals 1–0
- Simmonds – Zacha – Hughes10:50
xG 0.63–0.74 (46%)attempts 10–11goals 0–1
- Zajac – Simmonds – Wood2:09
xG 0.00–0.14 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–0
- Palmieri – Bratt – Hischier12:24
xG 0.25–1.19 (17%)attempts 5–16goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- Subban – Mueller19:28
xG 0.88–1.18 (43%)attempts 18–21goals 2–1
- Severson – Butcher19:37
xG 0.97–1.63 (37%)attempts 14–29goals 1–1
- Carrick – White12:37
xG 0.27–1.31 (17%)attempts 6–17goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 82% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).