Thu, Feb 20, 2020·Prudential Center, Newark
San Jose Sharks 1, New Jersey Devils 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 71% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 112 | 014 | 011 | 137 |
| NJD | 07 | 110 | 18 | 225 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:22SJSTim HeedAssists: Jake Middleton, Alexander True · Slap, 0.01 xG1–0
- P2 16:15NJDJesper BrattAssists: Pavel Zacha, Nikita Gusev · Wrist, 0.17 xG1–1
- P3 2:56NJDP.K. SubbanPPGWGAssists: Nikita Gusev · Snap, 0.04 xG1–2
Penalties (11)
- P1 7:26SJSJake Middleton: Fighting5 min
- P1 7:26NJDJohn Hayden: Fighting5 min
- P1 7:26SJSJake Middleton: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P1 19:46SJSStefan Noesen: Tripping2 min
- P2 0:47NJDWayne Simmonds: Interference2 min
- P2 7:11NJDP.K. Subban: Interference2 min
- P2 9:55SJSDylan Gambrell: Interference2 min
- P2 11:09SJSMelker Karlsson: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 18:31NJDMirco Mueller: Interference2 min
- P3 1:06SJSMario Ferraro: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P3 16:56SJSAlexander True: Interference goalkeeper2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zajac won the faceoff against Thornton
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestThornton – Labanc – Meier8:16
xG 0.66–0.29 (69%)attempts 14–10goals 0–1
- Marleau – Noesen – Goodrow5:54
xG 0.36–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Sorensen – Karlsson – Kellman4:33
xG 0.03–0.03 (52%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Gregor – Gambrell – True3:46
xG 0.17–0.28 (38%)attempts 9–5goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestBurns – Simek11:23
xG 1.24–0.49 (72%)attempts 21–12goals 0–0
- Heed – Ferraro2:56
xG 0.43–0.00 (99%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
- Burns – Vlasic2:26
xG 0.19–0.04 (81%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestPalmieri – Hischier – Hughes9:31
xG 0.49–0.33 (60%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
- Gusev – Zacha – Bratt8:55
xG 0.39–0.41 (49%)attempts 12–7goals 1–0
- Zajac – Simmonds – Wood8:29
xG 0.41–0.46 (47%)attempts 12–6goals 0–0
- Hayden – Rooney – Anderson6:43
xG 0.07–0.37 (15%)attempts 6–9goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Severson – Mermis14:15
xG 0.55–0.55 (50%)attempts 19–9goals 1–0
- Subban – Mueller10:51
xG 0.77–0.83 (48%)attempts 14–14goals 0–0
- Carrick – White9:15
xG 0.14–0.60 (19%)attempts 1–14goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 71% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).