Thu, Feb 20, 2020·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Florida Panthers 4, Los Angeles Kings 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 81% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 210 | 18 | 111 | 429 |
| LAK | 213 | 217 | 110 | 540 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:26LAKGabriel VilardiAssists: Kurtis MacDermid · Snap, 0.03 xG0–1
- P1 7:03FLAAleksander BarkovAssists: Jonathan Huberdeau · Wrist, 0.12 xG1–1
- P1 8:43FLAAleksander BarkovAssists: Jonathan Huberdeau, Noel Acciari · Snap, 0.06 xG2–1
- P1 15:12LAKDrew DoughtyPPAssists: Adrian Kempe, Anze Kopitar · Slap, 0.06 xG2–2
- P2 3:19FLAJonathan HuberdeauPPAssists: Evgenii Dadonov, Aaron Ekblad · Snap, 0.12 xG3–2
- P2 10:18LAKTrevor MooreAssists: Drew Doughty, Blake Lizotte · Tip-in, 0.12 xG3–3
- P2 18:42LAKMartin FrkAssists: Gabriel Vilardi, Matt Roy · Snap, 0.10 xG3–4
- P3 0:36FLAMike HoffmanPPAssists: Jonathan Huberdeau, Aaron Ekblad · Slap, 0.13 xG4–4
- P3 12:45LAKBen HuttonGWGAssists: Alex Iafallo, Anze Kopitar · Wrist, 0.22 xG4–5
Penalties (11)
- P1 11:02LAKDrew Doughty: Holding2 min
- P1 14:59FLAMike Hoffman: Interference2 min · PPG
- P1 15:59FLARiley Stillman: Roughing2 min
- P1 18:33FLAVincent Trocheck: High sticking2 min
- P1 0:00LAKSean Walker: Hooking2 min
- P2 1:36LAKAdrian Kempe: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 7:27FLAFrank Vatrano: Tripping2 min
- P2 19:26LAKDrew Doughty: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 0:00LAKAdrian Kempe: Roughing2 min
- P2 0:00FLAKeith Yandle: Roughing2 min
- P3 10:38FLANoel Acciari: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Barkov won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- Huberdeau – Barkov – Acciari9:51
xG 0.63–0.70 (47%)attempts 12–8goals 2–1
- Sceviour – Connolly – Saarela7:13
xG 0.29–0.46 (39%)attempts 6–10goals 0–0
- Dadonov – Toninato – Vatrano7:49
xG 0.09–0.52 (14%)attempts 5–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Weegar – Ekblad16:11
xG 0.68–0.70 (49%)attempts 13–15goals 0–0
- Yandle – Brown9:16
xG 0.46–0.50 (48%)attempts 7–11goals 0–1
- Stralman – Stillman5:13
xG 0.44–0.54 (45%)attempts 9–6goals 1–1
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestBrown – Kopitar – Iafallo10:31
xG 1.13–0.27 (81%)attempts 14–6goals 1–0
- Frk – Kempe – Vilardi8:04
xG 0.55–0.34 (61%)attempts 14–7goals 1–0
- Lewis – Schaller – Amadio3:57
xG 0.20–0.21 (49%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Wagner – Moore – Lizotte3:52
xG 0.12–0.27 (31%)attempts 3–1goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestHutton – Roy13:26
xG 1.17–0.57 (67%)attempts 22–6goals 2–0
- Doughty – Forbort15:39
xG 0.92–0.63 (59%)attempts 16–14goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it FLA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 81% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − FLA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).